There is a reason he verballed UL, and I doubt anyone bey his family would be able to know. There is no reason yet to question where he ends up without direct evidence that he is playing UL for something else.
I think there's a very good reason and that is the 5 star RB we thought we had this year. Most everyone believed he would decommit eventually and he did.
I also believe Capers could stick with the Cards but I'm a natural pessimist on these things, especially when the commitment is so early like this one.
I truly believe it will depend on how Louisville plays next season. If the Cards are flying high with Brohm, his chances of staying are much higher, but if the Cards are 7 and 5, I don't think so.
But I would love to be wrong.