Updated College Football Playoff and bowl projections

On3 imageby:Mike Huguenin11/15/21

MikeHuguenin

As we head into the 12th week of the season, here are our latest College Football Playoff and bowl projections.

We have — in projected order of final College Football Playoff ranking — Georgia, Ohio State, Cincinnati and Oklahoma State as the four teams in the Playoff field.

The rationale: Georgia as the unbeaten SEC champ; Ohio State as the one-loss Big Ten champ; Cincinnati as the unbeaten AAC champ (and the first Group of 5 representative to make the field); and Oklahoma State as the once-beaten Big 12 champ. An unbeaten Cincinnati should be fine when compared with a twice-beaten Power 5 school, and it also would edge out a one- or two-loss ACC champ. The wild card is Oregon: If the Ducks win out, they will be in the CFP field.

This week’s projected participants in the four other New Year’s Six bowls: Alabama, Michigan, Michigan State, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Oregon (Pac-12 champ) and Pitt (ACC champ).

The third set of College Football Playoff rankings will be released Tuesday night.

On to the projections. (Note: * refers to replacement team because projection is league won’t be able to fill the slot.)

College Football Playoff projections

DECEMBER 30

ORANGE BOWL
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
TV/time:
ESPN, time TBA
Matchup: CFP semifinal
Projection: Georgia vs. Oklahoma State

COTTON BOWL
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
TV/time:
ESPN, time TBA
Matchup: CFP semifinal
Projection: Cincinnati vs. Ohio State

JANUARY 10

CFP NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

TV/time: ESPN, 8 p.m.
Matchup: CFP semifinal winners

The rest of the bowls

DECEMBER 17

BAHAMAS BOWL
Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas

TV/time: ESPN, noon
Conference matchup: Conference USA vs. MAC
Projection: FAU vs. Ball State

CURE BOWL
Camping World Stadium, Orlando

TV/time: ESPN2, 6 p.m.
Conference matchup: Group of 5 vs. Group of 5
Projection: Charlotte vs. Kent State

DECEMBER 18

BOCA RATON BOWL
FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Fla.

TV/time: ESPN, 11 am
Conference matchup: Group of 5 vs. Group of 5
Projection: Central Michigan vs. Western Kentucky

NEW MEXICO BOWL
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque
TV/time: ESPN, 2:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: Conference USA vs. Mountain West
Projection: UTEP vs. Utah State

LendingTree BOWL
Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Ala.
TV/time: ABC, 3:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: MAC vs. Sun Belt
Projection: Miami (Ohio) vs. Troy

INDEPENDENCE BOWL
Independence Stadium, Shreveport, La.
TV/time: ESPN, 5:45 p.m.
Conference matchup: BYU vs. C-USA
Projection: BYU vs. UTSA

L.A. BOWL
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.
TV/time: ABC, 7:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Projection: San Diego State vs. USC

NEW ORLEANS BOWL
Superdome, New Orleans
TV/time:
ESPN, 9:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Projection: UAB vs. Louisiana

DECEMBER 20

MYRTLE BEACH BOWL
Brooks Stadium, Conway, S.C.
TV/time:
ESPN, 2:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: AAC or MAC vs. Sun Belt
Projection: Western Michigan vs. Appalachian State

DECEMBER 21

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
TV/time:
ESPN, 3:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection: Eastern Michigan at Boise State

FRISCO BOWL
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
TV/time:
ESPN, 7:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: Group of 5 vs. Group of 5
Projection: Coastal Carolina vs. Fresno State

DECEMBER 22

ARMED FORCES BOWL
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
TV/time:
ESPN, 7:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: Group of 5 or Big 12 or Pac-12 or C-USA or Army
Projection: Washington vs. Army

DECEMBER 23

GASPARILLA BOWL
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa
TV/time: ESPN, 7 p.m.
Conference matchup: AAC or ACC or SEC or open
Projection: East Carolina vs. Liberty

DECEMBER 24

HAWAII BOWL
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu
TV/time:
ESPN, 8 p.m.
Conference matchup: AAC vs. Mountain West
Projection: SMU vs. Air Force

DECEMBER 25

CAMELLIA BOWL
Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, Ala.
TV/time:
ESPN, 2:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: MAC vs. C-USA or Sun Belt
Projection: Georgia State vs. Middle Tennessee State

DECEMBER 27

QUICK LANE BOWL
Ford Field, Detroit
TV/time:
ESPN, 11 a.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. MAC
Projection: Marshall* vs. Toledo

MILITARY BOWL
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md.
TV/time:
ESPN, 2:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: AAC vs. ACC
Projection: Houston vs. Virginia

DECEMBER 28

BIRMINGHAM BOWL
Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Ala.
TV/time:
ESPN, noon
Conference matchup: AAC vs. ACC or SEC
Projection: Memphis vs. South Carolina

FIRST RESPONDER BOWL
Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas
TV/time:
ESPN, 3:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: AAC or ACC or Big 12 or Pac-12
Projection: Washington State vs. Wyoming

LIBERTY BOWL
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis
TV/time:
ESPN, 6:45 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection: West Virginia vs. Missouri

HOLIDAY BOWL
Petco Park, San Diego
TV/time:
Fox, 8 p.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection: Miami vs. Oregon State

GUARANTEED RATE BOWL
Chase Field, Phoenix
TV/time:
ESPN, 10:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. Big 12
Projection: Purdue vs. Texas Tech

DECEMBER 29

FENWAY BOWL
Fenway Park, Boston
TV/time:
ESPN, 11 a.m.
Conference matchup: AAC vs. ACC
Projection: UCF vs. Boston College

PINSTRIPE BOWL
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, N.Y.
TV/time:
ESPN, 2:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. Big Ten
Projection: Clemson vs. Maryland

CHEEZ-IT BOWL
Camping World Stadium, Orlando
TV/time:
ESPN, 5:45 p.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. Big 12
Projection: NC State vs. Kansas State

ALAMO BOWL
Alamodome, San Antonio
TV/time:
ESPN, 9:15 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Projection: Baylor vs. Utah

DECEMBER 30

DUKE’S MAYO BOWL
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
TV/time:
ESPN, 11:30 a.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. SEC
Projection: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State

MUSIC CITY BOWL
Nissan Stadium, Nashville
TV/time:
ESPN, 3 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Minnesota vs. Tennessee

PEACH BOWL
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
TV/time:
ESPN, 7 p.m.
Conference matchup: New Year’s Six at-large teams
Projection: Ole Miss vs. Pitt

LAS VEGAS BOWL
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
TV/time:
ESPN, 10:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Projection: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State

DECEMBER 31

GATOR BOWL
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville
TV/time:
ESPN, 11 a.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. SEC
Projection: Louisville vs. Auburn

SUN BOWL
Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas
TV/time:
CBS, 12:30 p.m.
Conference matchup: ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection: North Carolina vs. UCLA

ARIZONA BOWL
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Ariz.
TV/time:
TBA, 2 p.m.
Conference matchup: MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection: Northern Illinois vs. Nevada

JANUARY 1

OUTBACK BOWL
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa
TV/time:
ESPN2, Noon
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Penn State vs. Kentucky

CITRUS BOWL
Camping World Stadium, Orlando
TV/time:
ESPN2, 1 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Iowa vs. Texas A&M

FIESTA BOWL
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Ariz.
TV/time:
ESPN, 1 p.m.
Conference matchup: New Year’s Six at-large teams
Projection: Notre Dame vs. Michigan

ROSE BOWL
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif.
TV/time:
ESPN, 5 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Projection: Michigan State vs. Oregon

SUGAR BOWL
Superdome, New Orleans
TV/time:
ESPN, 8:45 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection: Oklahoma vs. Alabama

JANUARY 4

TEXAS BOWL
NRG Stadium, Houston
TV/time:
ESPN, 9 p.m.
Conference matchup: Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection: Iowa State vs. Arkansas