Oregon State vs. Oregon: Odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

The Pac-12 tournament will tipoff on Wednesday, with in-state rivals Oregon State and Oregon being the third game of the day. Not much is on the line from an NCAA Tournament perspective but both programs will be looking to get the automatic bid by lifting the trophy on Saturday night.

How to watch Oregon State vs Oregon

Time: 5:30 p.m. ET

Location: T-Mobile Arena

Network: Pac-12 Network

Vegas odds

According to VegasInsider, the Ducks are nine-point favorites in Las Vegas on Thursday evening. The over/under for the game is 144.

ESPN BPI prediction

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) measures team strength and predicts future performances across the sport. The BPI prediction from ESPN has Oregon with a 87.7% chance of earning a solid victory over Oregon State on Thursday evening.

Projected winner: Oregon

Predicted point differential: 12.3

Matchup Quality: 53.6

KenPom prediction

KenPom is another tool used to predict and project college basketball results. Like ESPN, KenPom projects Oregon taking the win in their Pac-12 Tournament opener in a route.

Predicted winner: Oregon

Predicted final score: Oregon 80, Oregon State 69

Win probability (for Oregon): 83%

Kenpom projects Pac-12 Tournament chances for Oregon, Oregon State

Heading into the Pac-12 Tournament, there are two clear favorites according to Kenpom. Arizona and UCLA have been at the top of the pack for the entire season and have the best chance of being conference champions when everything is said and done.

However, Oregon has a slight chance to be champions themselves, with Kenpom giving the Ducks a 2.1% chance. After a potential quarterfinal bid against Colordo, the odds really drop for Dana Altman’s team as Oregon has just a 7.2% chance of making it past a potential matchup with Arizona in the semifinal.

As for Oregon State, Kenpom has a really hard time seeing them making it out of the opener against their in-state rivals. The Beavers have just over a 16% chance of winning on Wednesday. Overall, Kenpom likes Oregon State the least out of anyone in the tournament, giving them a less than .01% chance of winning it all.