USF vs. Auburn: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison11/11/22

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Coming off an opening night win over George Mason, Auburn is getting set to take on USF on Friday night at Auburn Arena. The Bulls are coming off a loss in their opener to Southeast Missouri State. Ahead of the game, which will be on ESPN+, predictions and betting odds, including from KenPom, are here for the game.

How to watch USF vs. Auburn

Tip-off: 8:00 PM ET

Location: Auburn Arena, Auburn, AL

Channel: ESPN+

Vegas odds

The Tigers are a 19.5-point favorite over USF, according to the VegasInsider Consensus. The over-under for the game is set at 133.5 points.

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ESPN BPI Prediction

Predicted winner: Auburn

Predicted point differential: 16.1

Win probability (for Auburn): 91.9%

Matchup quality: 61.1

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a predictive tool that measures team strength. It then uses those measurements to predict future outcomes. BPI expects the Tigers to win the game fairly easily. It also has this game down as the 25th-best game of the day.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Auburn 78, USF 57

Win probability (for Auburn): 97%

KenPom is a tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. It is also predicting a Tigers win. However, if KenPom is correct, the Tigers will cover the Vegas spread, which ESPN’s BPI is predicting USF to cover.

More on USF vs. Auburn

Coming into the season, USF and Auburn seemed to be at opposite ends of the spectrum. The Bulls are looking to turn things around under head coach Brian Gregory, while the Tigers are expected to make a run for the SEC Championship and then deep into March.

So far, things haven’t turned around for Gregory at USF. This is his sixth season at USF, and in the previous five, he only produced one winning record. That year, USF was tied for seventh in AAC play. This season, the Bulls opened with a home loss in a buy game to Southeastern Missouri State.

Auburn, meanwhile, took care of business against an outmatched George Mason team to open its season. Wendell Green Jr. led the Tigers in scoring with 16 points.