Expert believes Alabama will cover the 35 points

Phil Steele, one of the smartest minds in college football, predicts a blowout in Tuscaloosa on Saturday. That's not a bold prediction, considering everyone in America believes the same. But Steele took it one step further and said Alabama laying five touchdowns is a bargain for all the gamblers out there. In other words, Steele believes Kentucky will lose by at least 35 points.

Kentucky Wildcats at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-35) Noon, ESPN It might not sound like a smart move to lay five touchdowns in an SEC game, but I'm willing to do so here. Coach Nick Saban has the most talented team in the country and has them playing to the final gun each week. The Tide does have road trips to Arkansas and Tennessee on deck, but the defense has a shot at the shutout. Over the past two weeks they have heard Florida has "the best defense in the country" and how the Gators held Kentucky to nine first downs and 149 yards in Week 2, with 65 of those yards coming on a drive for a garbage touchdown with 4:45 left and Florida up 45-0. Alabama has a slightly better defense and a much stronger offense. In the second half vs. Southern Miss, first half vs. South Carolina and four quarters vs. Florida, Kentucky had one field goal and that garbage touchdown as their only scores. Kentucky gave up 44, 45 and 42 points in their first three games. Meanwhile, my computer has Alabama scoring 52. With the look ahead, I'll cut that down to 48. I don't see the Tide defense allowing a touchdown, and the number will seem cheap by the end of the game. Kentucky's Week 6 matchup with Vanderbilt is actually more important for their bowl chances. ATS pick: Alabama Score: Alabama 48, Kentucky 6

Well that's not very encouraging. [ESPN: Phil Steele's best Week 5 college football bets]