Opening 2023 Heisman Futures
A few 2023 Heisman Trophy winner odds courtesy of BetOnline.
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| 2023 Heisman Trophy Winner | |
| Drake Maye | 5/1 |
| Caleb Williams | 6/1 |
| Jordan Travis | 10/1 |
| Bo Nix | 12/1 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 12/1 |
| Sam Hartman | 12/1 |
| Jayden Daniels | 20/1 |
| Joe Milton | 20/1 |
| Kyle McCord | 20/1 |
| Cade Klubnik | 25/1 |
| Drew Allar | 25/1 |
| Quinn Ewers | 25/1 |
| Brock Vandagriff | 28/1 |
| Blake Corum | 33/1 |
| Carson Beck | 33/1 |
| Dillon Gabriel | 40/1 |
| J.J. McCarthy | 40/1 |
| Spencer Rattler | 40/1 |
| Ty Simpson | 40/1 |
| DJ Uiagalelei | 50/1 |
| Jeff Sims | 50/1 |
| KJ Jefferson | 50/1 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 50/1 |
| Nick Singleton | 50/1 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 50/1 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | 50/1 |
| Devin Brown | 66/1 |
| Jalen Milroe | 66/1 |
| Will Shipley | 66/1 |
| Arch Manning | 75/1 |
| Will Rogers | 75/1 |
| Cameron Rising | 80/1 |
| Conner Weigman | 80/1 |
| Devin Leary | 80/1 |
| Donovan Edwards | 80/1 |
| Gunner Stockton | 80/1 |
| Jase McClellan | 80/1 |
| Nico Iamaleava | 80/1 |
| Raheim Sanders | 100/1 |
| Tyler Shough | 100/1 |
An interesting comment from Adam Burns, the Sports Betting Manager at BetOnline:
“Our initial thought was to make Caleb Williams the favorite to repeat as the Heisman Trophy winner. We then thought better of it and made him the second favorite. No Heisman Trophy winner has repeated since Archie Griffin winning back-to-back in 1974 and 1975. In the last 15 years, Tim Tebow, Johnny Manziel, Jameis Winston, and Lamar Jackson won as early underclassmen and returned the next year as the clear Heisman favorite. And you know what, none of them won. And we don’t think Caleb Williams will buck that trend. Drake Maye was tremendous last year, finished strong and is our opening favorite.”
He neglects to mention that the other Heisman failures to repeat didn’t have top notch manicurists.
Of course, this is the silly season where we don’t even know full roster composition or the final impacts of the transfer portal, but the odds offer an interesting insight into where Vegas perceives public value. Arch Manning at 75/1 is…whimsical. But it will garner its share of “fun bets” — the sports book equivalent of a wishing well.
A few thoughts:
The Heisman Trophy is now an award for the quarterback of a Top 10 team with qualifying levels of anointed media hype. So while Texas fans are mired in Quinn Ewers’ worst games in 2022, Vegas is in the futures game. Does Texas look like an emerging team? Are they going to throw the ball around? What does a year under Quinn’s belt and ten returning starters mean to a team that should be a Big 12 favorite that can also garner sufficient hype to mount a Heisman campaign? That’s why you see Cade Klubnik with the same 25/1 odds, despite fewer starts and a shaky bowl performance as the starter.
JJ McCarthy lower at 40/1 is interesting, but he lacks statistical volume.
Dillon Gabriel should have all of the volume in the world as OU runs its offense through him, but Oklahoma is replacing most of their offensive line and that’s bad news for a smaller QB who could struggle to stay upright.
Drake Maye could be the best player in the country but questions about supporting cast and UNC garnering enough wins makes him a tenuous front runner.
Anyone getting in on that sweet Connor Weigman 80/1 money maker?