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Florida vs. Alabama odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Gators, Crimson Tide

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko02/21/24

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The latest odds and predictions are in for the FloridaAlabama matchup Wednesday and one side is pretty favored.

The Crimson Tide are No. 13 in the country but welcome a ranked SEC foe in the Gators (No. 24). This should be one of the best games of the night.

Let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for the Gators and Crimson Tide as they hit the court Wednesday night.

Odds for Florida vs. Alabama

Currently, the Crimson Tide are an 8.5 point favorite over the Gators, per FanDuel. If you want to bet the moneyline, Alabama is a big favorite with -365 odds while Florida is +285.

Looking at the total, Vegas thinks this is going to be a high scoring game. The total is currently set at 174.5.

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 13.4
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 86.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 81

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. The Crimson Tide are huge favorites, according to ESPN. As you can see, the differential is in the double digits and Alabama has a near 90% chance to win.

The matchup quality is high though, listed as an 81. That’s the fifth best game of the Wednesday night slate.

KenPom predicted final score: Alabama wins 93-84
KenPom win probability (for Alabama): 80%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric gives the Gators a little more credit than ESPN, but the line is very similar to FanDuel.

This would certainly be an upset for Florida if the Gators knock off Alabama.

How to watch Florida vs. Alabama

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2/FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Tuscaloosa (Ala.)

Alabama is at home for this one, hence the big line based on the odds and predictions. Florida looks for quite the road win for the resume.

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