Florida State vs. UNC odds: Win probability, final score prediction in ACC Tournament
After sealing the double by as the No. 1 seed, North Carolina will play its first game of the ACC Tournament on Thursday. UNC is gearing up to take on Florida State at Capital One Arena, and the predictions are in.
Florida State played its first game of the week on Wednesday, defeating Virginia Tech 86-76 in the second round after both teams secured a bye. That set up a rematch against North Carolina for the third time this year.
This time around, though, the stakes are much higher in the win-or-go home setting. North Carolina has the hot hand, winning eight of its last 10 games – and the consensus opinion is the Tar Heels have the edge.
Odds for Florida State vs. UNC
North Carolina is a 9.5-point favorite over Florida State in Thursday’s game, according to FanDuel. The over-under is set at 153.5.
The Tar Heels won the last matchup against the Seminoles 75-68 in Tallahassee. It was their second time playing each other after a 78-70 North Carolina victory in the first go-round, and UNC will try to get a third victory over FSU in Washington, D.C.
Final score predictions for Florida State vs. North Carolina
KenPom predicted final score: North Carolina 82, Florida State 71
KenPom win probability (for North Carolina): 84%
The KenPom metrics also give UNC a strong chance of pulling off a victory to advance in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels have an 84% win probability, according to KenPom, and are projected to win by double digits.
North Carolina entered Thursday ranked No. 8 in the overall KenPom rankings and has the fifth-best adjusted defense. Florida State, meanwhile, checks in at No. 79 overall.
How to watch Florida State vs. UNC
Time: Noon ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Washington, D.C.
ESPN will carry Florida State vs. UNC, which tips off at Noon ET from Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. It will mark North Carolina’s first game of the week after clinching the double bye with an outright conference title.
UNC ended the regular season with a victory over rival Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium to win the ACC. The Tar Heels are bringing plenty of momentum to the nation’s capital, as well, with a six-game winning streak under their belts.