Gonzaga vs. Purdue odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Sweet 16
Gonzaga and Purdue are set to meet in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament on Friday in what will be a rematch from the regular season. The Boilermakers got the better of the Bulldogs in that one, winning 73-63 in a Maui Invitational quarterfinal game.
They’ll hope for a similar result this year as they aim to avenge a first-round loss to No. 16 seed Farleigh Dickinson from last year with a deep run. The Boilermakers are led by reigning National Player of the Year Zach Edey, who is averaging 24.6 points and 12.0 rebounds per game.
Gonzaga is set to make its ninth straight appearance in the Sweet Sixteen and has won five of the the previous eight times. The Bulldogs have four players on their team who are averaging double figures, all of which are upperclassmen.
Odds for Gonzaga vs. Purdue
Purdue enters the matchup as a 4.5-point favorite against Gonzaga according to FanDuel. The Boilermakers currently have a moneyline of -200 compared to +164 for the Bulldogs.
The over/under for the game is set at 153.5. Both teams currently rank top 15 in the country in points per game, with a combined average of 168.2.
Final score predictions for Gonzaga vs. Purdue
KenPom predicted final score: Purdue 81, Gonzaga 77
KenPom win probability (for Purdue): 67%
KenPom is a predictive system created by Ken Pomeroy that is highly regarded among college basketball fans. It takes in factors such as team tempo, offensive and defensive efficiency and strength of schedule to come up with an overall ranking of each team.
KenPom agrees with Vegas in the matchup between the Bulldogs and Boilermakers, predicting Purdue to win 81-77 and advance to the Elite Eight for the second time under Matt Painter. It also gives the Boilermakers a 67% chance of victory, suggesting confidence in the outcome.
How to watch Gonzaga vs. Purdue
Time: 7:39 p.m. ET on Friday
Channel: TBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI
Gonzaga and Purdue are set to tip off at 7:39 p.m. ET Friday in what will be the last game of the Sweet Sixteen round. The game will take place at Little Caesars Arena, home of the NBA’s Detroit Pistons and NHL’s Detroit Red Wings.
The game is set to be televised on TBS, but can also be streamed via Prime Video, which will have access to all of the games throughout the Sweet Sixteen.