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Texas A&M vs. Florida odds: Win probability, final score prediction in SEC Tournament

NS_headshot_clearbackgroundby:Nick Schultz03/15/24

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Texas A&M, Florida
© Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The SEC Tournament semifinals are set, and the nightcap will feature two teams who pulled off major upsets on Friday. It will be Texas A&M taking on Florida with a spot in the championship on the line.

Texas A&M kicked off the evening slate of games on Friday by defeating No. 3 seed Kentucky 97-87. That set the table for the final matchup of the day, and Florida didn’t leave much room for doubt as the Gators stunned No. 2 seed Alabama 102-88.

Now, the SEC’s No. 6 seed and No. 7 seed will battle it out on Saturday to lock up a spot in the tournament championship. The odds and predictions are in for the matchup, as well.

Odds for Texas A&M vs. Florida

Florida opened as a 2.5-point favorite in the SEC Tournament semifinal, according to FanDuel. The over-under opened at 150.5

Florida and Texas A&M previously squared off in a thriller on Feb. 3 in College Station. Ultimately, it was the Aggies who came away with the 67-66 victory thanks to a late jumper from Tyrece Radford with 35 seconds to play.

Final score predictions for Texas A&M vs. Florida

KenPom predicted final score: Florida 78, Texas A&M 77
KenPom win probability (for Florida): 54%

Like FanDuel, KenPom also gives the slight edge to Florida, predicting the Gators to get a 78-77 victory in the SEC Tournament semifinals. UF also has a 54% chance of winning the matchup, according to KenPom’s projections.

In addition, Florida will enter Saturday as the higher-rated team in the overall KenPom rankings, checking in at No. 30 as of Saturday night. Texas A&M, meanwhile, came in at No. 43. With two evenly matched teams going, according to the metrics, it could be an interesting showdown as the stakes get higher.

How to watch Texas A&M vs. Florida

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Nashville, Tenn.

After the first rounds aired on the SEC Network, the SEC Tournament will move exclusively to ESPN the rest of the way. Florida vs. Texas A&M will be the second game of the day on Saturday, following Auburn vs. Mississippi State to get things going.

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

Florida and Texas A&M are also fighting to solidify their spots in the NCAA Tournament by reaching the SEC Tournament championship game and maybe getting the league’s automatic bid. Both teams have been red-hot through the week in Nashville, so something will have to give Saturday afternoon at Bridgestone Arena.