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Texas A&M vs. Houston odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra03/23/24

SamraSource

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Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

With one win each on their path to a national championship, the Texas A&M Aggies and Houston Cougars are set to square off on Sunday, the winner taking a spot in this year’s Sweet 16.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The Aggies are coming off a win over the Nebraska in their Round of 64 showdown. Wade Taylor IV led the way in that showdown, accumulating 25 points during that contest for Texas A&M, helping them move onto the next round.

As for the Cougars, they took care of business following their incredible regular season, backing it up with a drubbing on Longwood. It was LJ Cryer and his 17 points leading the charge in that win.

Odds for Texas A&M vs. Houston

According to FanDuel as of the time of this publishing, Houston sits as a 10.5-point favorite over Texas A&M. The Cougars are -600 on the moneyline, with the Aggies priced at +425.

The point total for the game is sitting at 132.5 points. We’ll see if these two competitive teams can get to that total when they clash on Sunday. 

Final score predictions for Texas A&M vs. Houston

BPI predicted winner: Houston
BPI predicted point differential: 14.1
BPI win probability: 91.8
BPI matchup quality: 80.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 14.1 points in Houston’s favor. It also gives the Cougars a 91.8 percent chance to win the game over the Aggies. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 80.7, which is in the middle of the road for Sunday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Houston 71, Texas A&M 61
KenPom win probability: Houston, 81%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Texas A&M and Houston, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Cougars to win.

How to watch Texas A&M vs. Houston

Time: 8:40 p.m. ET on Sunday
Channel: TNT, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: FedExForum — Memphis, TN

Texas A&M and Houston are set to tip off at 8:10 p.m. EST. It will be played at the FedExForum in Memphis, TN with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on TNT. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video, where you can add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work.