I never felt the game was really ever in NWs favor. Indiana controlled the line of scrimmage and were wearing them down as the game went on. NW wasn't going to get a stop and was down multiple scores for much of the 2nd half. I think this is the "danger" of considering one score games as toss-ups. Indiana was in control, they played to win the game not win by 3 scores. They were up 9 with 2 minutes to go and went prevent to run the clock which allowed NW to move the ball, knowing they would get the ball back. Indiana still has an elite oline...they are boring, aren't as explosive but the big 10 is down this year so I expect them to win it again.