Northwest 3A-4A conference games 10-09

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
254
441
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Two of three Northwest Games would be really interesting this Friday night.

4-2 Mt Airy host 3-3 West Stokes.
3-3 North Surry goes to 2-4 East Surry
3-3 Forbush host 0-6 Surry Central

Mt Airy put North Surry to bed fairly early this past Friday evening with a 36-0 halftime lead and a running clock.
But West Stokes is not North Surry and has played what I think is a tough non-conference schedule. There non-conference schedule included:
5A North Davidson 4-2
2A Community school of Davidson 4-2 and ranked #6
6A Statesville 2-4
5A Northeast Guilford 5-1
I am going out on a limb here, but I forecast Mt Airy by 14. The defense will provide the advantage in my opinion.
West Stokes has scored 202 points through 6 games (almost 34 per game) but has allowed 167 (nearly 28 per game).
Mt Airy has scored 161 (which included 0 against #2 Virginia Ranked Jefferson Forest HS with 2006 Students) which is 32 points per the other 5 games.
Mt Airy has allowed 108 (excluding the 42 that Jefferson Forest scored) which is 22 per 5 opponents.

I project East Surry steps up and continues North's suffering due to East playing a much more difficult non-conference schedule.
East loses have been to Statesville, Starmount, Murphy and Walkerton, which was their lone none scoring lost.
I go East by at least 14.

Forbush will unfortunately have a fairly easy practice session against Surry Central. SC is hurt by small numbers to begin with, then additional reduction due to injuries makes for a very difficult season. I think Surry County should be very proud of the effort that the young men at Central are putting forth. Sometimes there are ways to win other than on the scoreboard.

Yes I am aware I will take a hit of how I noted and excluded Jefferson Forest from Mt Airy offense and defense numbers. I am ok with that, But I did not point out Mt Airy played and defeated two NC 6A teams in the non-conference season.
 

Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
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I agree with your picks East Surry and Forbush winning with East Surry game being 1 or 2 scores. Don't know what to expect in the MA and West Stokes game. Two good backs with Mason and Sumner. I give the edge to MA defense from games I've seen. Spainhour looks good at QB for the Bears not sure if Knox or Wright will be QB for West. Knox didn't play against Forbush. Winner most likely wins conference.
 

ncfootball_17

Senior
Mar 26, 2009
826
887
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West isn't bad but I don't think West Stokes has the defense to stop MA all night. I'll take MA by 14.

I hate it for Surry Central and anyone that has to play them, but they're just bad. Forbush by 28.

Not sure what North Surry is doing this year. I talked to some friends over that way and they said North just didn't seemed focused and in the game last week. Not sure if they got too comfortable after winning a few in a row or what. Is it coaching? Are they young this year? No team leadership? Something else? Not saying they should have beat MA but they should have beat Northwood and probably Alleghany. Big difference sitting at 3-3 vs a possible 5-1... Based on MaxPreps it looks like NS has only beaten ES twice and WS once in the last 10 years. Are the NS faithful starting to talk or are they okay being a .500 team? I feel like this is a game just like the Starmount/EW game last week where I said we'll learn a lot about the coaching staff and players.
 

Bob tha Builder

Redshirt
Oct 4, 2025
4
5
3
This week will definitely give a better picture of how the conference race looks. Obviously the the winner of the MA/WS game has an early edge toward that conference championship, but if ES has a very convincing win against NS then it will all come down to that final Friday.
 

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
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This week will definitely give a better picture of how the conference race looks. Obviously the winner of the MA/WS game has an early edge toward that conference championship, but if ES has a very convincing win against NS then it will all come down to that final Friday.
Assuming Mt Airy defeats West Stokes and East beats North, as I predict, then you are very correct about the East Surry vs Mt Airy game.
 

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
254
441
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Simmons gives Mt Airy 14 pts over West Stokes. I gave them 14.

Simmons has East by 3 over North Surry, I gave East 14 also. I think when East gets in front, North lays down.
 

Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
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West Stokes defending conference champion in track hopefully it translates to the field tonight . West Stokes 38 MA 35
 

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
254
441
63
Kingbluedevil, I am sorry that I missed you. I have been taking an infusion of antibiotics for 5 weeks and this afternoon they did not sit well with me so my grandson and I went and sat down. I am really sorry I missed saying hello.

As to the game of West Stokes and Mt Airy, it was ALL West Stokes in every way. If this game was played 20 times Wesst would win 20 times.

Mt Airy was O and D Line was absolutely DOMINATED by West's lines, and I would say in every other position as well. In fact, other than Mt Airy RB Mason, I am not sure there is a Bear that could start at West!!!

Tonight Mt Airy got Lowmaxed (play on You got Mossed of NFL show).

Out played, out coached.

Otherwise the night went as I thought for the Conference with East Surry kicking North's tail and Forbus and Surry Central as projected.

Congratulations to West Stokes. I truly do not know how you are now only 4 and 3.
 
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Kingbluedevil

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Kingbluedevil, I am sorry that I missed you. I have been taking an infusion of antibiotics for 5 weeks and this afternoon they did not sit well with me so my grandson and I went and sat down. I am really sorry I missed saying hello.

As to the game of West Stokes and Mt Airy, it was ALL West Stokes in every way. If this game was played 20 times Wesst would win 20 times.

Mt Airy was O and D Line was absolutely DOMINATED by West's lines, and I would say in every other position as well. In fact, other than Mt Airy RB Mason, I am not sure there is a Bear that could start at West!!!

Tonight Mt Airy got Lowmaxed (play on You got Mossed of NFL show).

Out played, out coached.

Otherwise the night went as I thought for the Conference with East Surry kicking North's tail and Forbus and Surry Central as projected.

Congratulations to West Stokes. I truly do not know how you are now only 4 and 3.
Sorry I missed you ,I was surprised at the score. The 3 losses that West has the stats were even but gave up big plays. So I knew they had room to improve. I thought #5 our QB would be back tonight but #0 was really good. MA will bounce back but they need to improve passing game to go far.
 

Bear1971

All-Conference
Nov 28, 2017
1,001
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Mt airy will not improve til next year this team is to one demential and Sadly Taylor has no ideae
 

Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
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What did Mason have on the ground tonight? MA OL is really good. Not surprised WS won but surprised by the score to say the least.
Mason had some good runs but was contained for most part. He is a hard runner for sure. #19 is really quick also.
 
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Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
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The West Stokes vs East Surry game should be interesting this week. With Upchurch, Lowman and Whitt having coached at both places. I look for this game to be closer than the West MA game. Randy Marion at West also.
 

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
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The West Stokes vs East Surry game should be interesting this week. With Upchurch, Lowman and Whitt having coached at both places. I look for this game to be closer than the West MA game. Randy Marion at West also.
I agree the coming game will be interesting up to and including the first quarter. After that, if West entire team has not come down with the flu, the game will be over. This is not meant to be a slap at East in any manner, but West is clearly the class of the Northwest Conference this year.

And I have not been able to find any Bear Stats for this past Friday night.
 
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Kingbluedevil

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Apr 2, 2014
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I agree the coming game will be interesting up to and including the first quarter. After that, if West entire team has not come down with the flu, the game will be over. This is not meant to be a slap at East in any manner, but West is clearly the class of the Northwest Conference this year.

And I have not been able to find any Bear Stats for this past Friday night.
MA actually had few more yards than West. Mason had around 120 yards rushing. The big difference was 2 TD on special teams and 2 interceptions. I think MA had more penalties also. Going for it on 4th down on their on 30 yard line and not picking up first down gave 6 to West.
 

whitleyre

Senior
Jul 18, 2025
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KingBlue Devil, I have talked with 3 other old farts like me that saw last Friday nights and all four of us had the same opinion:
West Stokes completely dominated Mt Airy in every phase of the game: line play, offense, defense, kicking, and coaching.
The only place Mt Airy did better was at the concession stand. and tailgaiting.

This causes us to be much more reserved about the game with Forbush. We agree we should win but.......
The other games I agree with you.

Again, sorry I missed you the other night.
 
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Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
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KingBlue Devil, I have talked with 3 other old farts like me that saw last Friday nights and all four of us had the same opinion:
West Stokes completely dominated Mt Airy in every phase of the game: line play, offense, defense, kicking, and coaching.
The only place Mt Airy did better was at the concession stand. and tailgaiting.

This causes us to be much more reserved about the game with Forbush. We agree we should win but.......
The other games I agree with you.

Again, sorry I missed you the other night.
Forbush weakness is MA strong points. The Bears will score 50 without throwing a pass. The QB for Forbush is good athlete. Tough as nails
 

Kingbluedevil

All-American
Apr 2, 2014
6,379
6,839
113
KingBlue Devil, I have talked with 3 other old farts like me that saw last Friday nights and all four of us had the same opinion:
West Stokes completely dominated Mt Airy in every phase of the game: line play, offense, defense, kicking, and coaching.
The only place Mt Airy did better was at the concession stand. and tailgaiting.

This causes us to be much more reserved about the game with Forbush. We agree we should win but.......
The other games I agree with you.

Again, sorry I missed you the other night.
Has Buzzcoach been to any games
 
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