Jeff has us at 15, hopefully tomorrow night the results have us closer to the top than we are in the AP. Obviously must win-out and look good doing it but with all the cannibalizing that will occur over the next 13 days, the path is there. We will find out tomorrow night just how much SEC favoritism there is. Wake Forest may royally screw things for us.
Sources: Sagarin ratings, ESPN FPI, and AP Poll. Sagarin positions carry forward the Week 9 ranking reported earlier in our conversation; I couldn't independently reopen the Sagarin site during this check. ESPN FPI positions 1–25 were verified from a November 2 report; positions below 25 were not available from that source.
The most interesting patterns:
Top 30 — Side-by-side rankings
Ordered by Sagarin ranking. NR = outside the published AP Top 25; — = ranking not independently verified.| Team | Sagarin | ESPN FPI | AP Poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Georgia | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| LSU | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| Miami (FL) | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| Texas | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| Alabama | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Indiana | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| Utah | 10 | 10 | 3 |
| Tennessee | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| Oregon | 12 | 12 | NR |
| UCLA | 13 | — | 5 |
| Wake Forest | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| Iowa | 15 | 21 | 21 |
| Missouri | 16 | 19 | 19 |
| South Carolina | 17 | 25 | 23 |
| Kentucky | 18 | — | 8 |
| Texas Tech | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| Florida | 20 | 22 | 25 |
| USC | 21 | 15 | 18 |
| Houston | 22 | 20 | 17 |
| Northwestern | 23 | 24 | NR |
| BYU | 24 | 16 | 7 |
| Louisville | 25 | 18 | NR |
| Arizona | 26 | — | 24 |
| Texas A&M | 27 | 23 | NR |
| Nebraska | 28 | 17 | NR |
| Wisconsin | 29 | — | NR |
| Oklahoma | 30 | — | NR |
Where the rankings disagree most
The most interesting patterns:
- Notre Dame: Both computer models agree it is the nation's strongest team despite its 7–1 record.
- LSU: Sagarin No. 3 and FPI No. 5, versus AP No. 15. The computer systems are considerably more favorable toward LSU.
- BYU: AP No. 7, but Sagarin No. 24 and FPI No. 16. The models are skeptical relative to poll voters.
- UCLA and Kentucky: Both have strong records and high AP positions, but Sagarin rates them considerably lower.
- Oregon: Despite being unranked in the AP Poll, both computer systems have Oregon at No. 12.
