The two that most fans marked down as probable losses have changed up. Cali final is 31-15 with Oregon St. The margin of the score should have been even wider. I watched a decent amount of the 2nd half of that game, and they just coasted thru the 2nd half. If Cali is doing that to Oregon St then we have a chance.
That's 3 games that were counted as almost automatic losses by me and a lot of others. If we thought we had a chance before, and suddenly it was possible to get 1 or 2 wins out of those 3 games,(OSU, Oregon St, Army) then our chances of getting 6 or more wins suddenly got a lot better. Our chances at 5 wins is probably almost automatic. If everything goes incredibly right we could have 8 or 9 wins. If everything goes horribly wrong, then 4 or likelier 5 wins. At the end of summer ball I would have given those numbers as 3 and 8.