This is the bottom line. There is no way Collins will be able to recruit based on the past few years. He can't sell any kind of upward trajectory. He can't sell a hot, new, innovative coach ready to build something exciting. There is nothing left to sell.
Once I saw Carmody's recruitment start to nosedive with his last recruiting class, that is when I knew it was time for him to go. I think we are now in the same place with Collins.
Carmody was hampered by Phillips when he was basically on a year to year contract, and he still landed one of the highest rated recruits in Jaren Sina.
That being said, CC's issues hasn't been so much recruiting on paper, but that so many of his top recruits fail to live up to their ratings (whether that be poor analysis of said recruits actual ability, poor development or both).
His best recruits (aside from Vic, who had to work on his O skills) were BMac and Pardon who were both 3*.
Have realistic expectations, so out of a 3 recruit class, don't expect more than 1 to be a legit B1G starter, another to be bench player and 3rd to see sparing minutes, but we haven't even seen that.
Carmody was never able to recruit the depth needed to overcome the inevitable injuries, but we knew immediately that Coble, Juice, Shurna, Crawford, Cobb were players and that's not counting guys further back like VV and TJ.
Nance is the only player on the team that would put on that level, but was expecting something like this from his soph season onward (he was supposedly the less physical but more skilled Nance brother).
Can't see how CC has much of anything to sell national recruits (can we consider getting players from NE a bust?) and due to his contract situation, don't see the program moving on from CC, so the only hope I see left is for CC and the staff to mine the Chicago-land area for under the radar hard-nosed and skilled recruits a la Juice, Shurna, Crawford.
For all the talk of CC's love for stretch-4s and skilled wings, we haven't exactly seen much in the way of that, and to make matters worse, they also don't have the ruggedness to bang in the B1G.
CC had that with his Tourney team in Pardon, Lumpkin, Law (despite his slight build) and Skelly.
Sobo was a bit underappreciated, but it says something when he is the 2nd best PG to play under CC.