The Scary Proposition That Trump Is Gradually Becoming More Popular
By Ed Kilgore New York Magazine
Nate Cohn marshals evidence that a lot more people like Trump now than in 2016.
If there has been one bit of conventional wisdom about 2020 that has most comforted LEFT - OF - CENTER analysts like me, it’s that Donald Trump’s job approval ratings seem exceptionally stagnant and too low to support the evident optimism of his conservative media boosters. I made that argument just a few days ago in a piece looking at evidence that Trump’s actual voting appeal may not be much better than those shaky approval ratings.
But now comes the formidable number cruncher Nate Cohn with a challenge to this assumption from a couple of different directions. It will be received by many Times readers as something of a terroristic threat, but it’s important to face it directly.
First up, he calls attention to something most of us have ignored since Trump took office: the president’s personal favorability ratings. Yes, we all know that Trump won despite astonishingly low favorability numbers (an Election Eve ratio of 36/61 according to Gallup). But Cohn notes these numbers now look better for POTUS:
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Shocking, .... just Shocking, I tell you.
By Ed Kilgore New York Magazine
Nate Cohn marshals evidence that a lot more people like Trump now than in 2016.
If there has been one bit of conventional wisdom about 2020 that has most comforted LEFT - OF - CENTER analysts like me, it’s that Donald Trump’s job approval ratings seem exceptionally stagnant and too low to support the evident optimism of his conservative media boosters. I made that argument just a few days ago in a piece looking at evidence that Trump’s actual voting appeal may not be much better than those shaky approval ratings.
But now comes the formidable number cruncher Nate Cohn with a challenge to this assumption from a couple of different directions. It will be received by many Times readers as something of a terroristic threat, but it’s important to face it directly.
First up, he calls attention to something most of us have ignored since Trump took office: the president’s personal favorability ratings. Yes, we all know that Trump won despite astonishingly low favorability numbers (an Election Eve ratio of 36/61 according to Gallup). But Cohn notes these numbers now look better for POTUS:
.....................
Shocking, .... just Shocking, I tell you.