Breaking down the Kentucky offense

UKErik

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
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Before looking ahead to the coming season, here's a quick review of 2014 and some thoughts on what went right and wrong.

When reflecting on '14, the first thing that jumps out at me is the ridiculous amount of youth on the offensive unit. Patrick Towles was an underclassman first year starter. Boom Williams was a freshman (overall, UK had almost no experience at running back). Four of UK's top six wide receivers were underclassman. Three freshman lineman played (Haynes, Meyers, and Meadows). Toth was only a sophomore.

Predictably, there were times when the offense struggled. UK finished 79th nationally with 384 yards per game. Kentucky was a woeful 110th in third down conversion rate. They were 101st in sacks allowed. Much of those last two numbers can be attributed to UK's inability to stay out of 3rd and long. UK's offensive line was also incredibly inexperienced. Other than Toth and the departed Darrian Miller, it was a challenge to find reasons for optimism.

On the flip side, there were some positives. UK played three freshman on the o-line. All should be better for it (and all are projected to start this season). Toth emerged as a very good center. Boom Williams averaged 6.6 yards per carry. Towles was picked off just nine times in nearly 400 attempts. UK played a boatload of very young guys at WR. So no question, the '15 offense will be a more experienced group. But will they be better? I think it would be very hard to make a case that they won't be.

Patrick Towles has a very valuable year under his belt. The junior passed for over 2700 yards in an offense that was, at times, pretty awful. Towles is a guy that can also do some damage with his feet. He has a big arm. Accuracy is the only real question mark, IMO. Allegedly, he's gotten better in that area. Either way, I'm confident Dawson will do a better job than Brown of putting Towles in a position to succeed. JMO of course.

UK has no shortage of skill guys, especially at wide receiver. Kentucky returns four of their top six receivers, led by Ryan Timmons. Timmons truly is an elite athlete, but consistency has been a major road block for him. Getting Jeff Badet back is absolutely huge. Garrett Johnson, Dorian Baker, and Blake Bone are young guys that played a ton of snaps as freshman. There are more names as well (LOL; UK really has loaded up at this position). Overall, you have to figure Kentucky is going to be MUCH better at WR this season.

I really like UK's running backs. I wish there was a little more depth, but I'll take Williams/Horton/Kemp. I think Boom could be one of the bigger surprises nationally. He has tremendous athletic ability. Just need to get him more touches. In addition to the 6.6 yards per carry, Williams averaged nearly 10 yards per reception (17 catches). Hopefully, Dawson can get Boom ***at least*** 17-18 touches per game.

That leaves the big fellas. At tight end, I think everyone is excited to get a look at C.J. Conrad. Having that kid develop into a legit "between the hash marks" threat would be huge for this offense. UK looks to actually have a little depth at tackle and guard. Inside, we're probably looking at a starting duo of Nick Haynes and Ramsey Meyers. Senior Zach West (30 career starts) will battle for one of those spots. Outside, veteran Jordan Swindle and SO Kyle Meadows are projected to start, though it seems like just a matter of time before George Asafo-Ajdei replaces Meadows (could be sooner than later). UK has one of the nations better centers in Jon Toth, (Rimington Trophy watch list). Toth is a two year starter and UK's top lineman.

I'm most anxious to see UK's new OC in action. For whatever reason, I've never been as excited about a coordinator hire as I am with Shannon Dawson. Maybe it's the scheme he's going to use. Maybe it's just that has the "it" factor. Not sure where it comes from really, but I have a lot of confidence in Dawson. I think he's going to be absolutely outstanding.

So where does that leave the offense? I think they'll be very good. I'm thinking something along the lines of 430+ yards and 30+ points per game. Looking for a big season from this group.

GBB!!!
 

gobgblu37

Senior
Aug 1, 2007
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Nice to have you back Erik, I also believe that Dawson is going to be a great addition to the staff and UK's offense will show marked improvement in all areas. If the football gods allow us to be relatively injury free, we could have a offense equal to the 07 team which could allow us to make a nice bowl game.
 
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UKCatNnc

All-Conference
Sep 30, 2005
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Thanks UKErik. I am really looking forward to your game breakdowns. i think this is going to be a good season for the Cats. Go Cats!!
 

Brock28

All-Conference
Dec 14, 2004
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Offensive line still worries me, especially the tackle position. If we can keep Towles upright, our offensive production will be off the charts. I have the same feeling about Dawson. I think he will be a great one. This could be the best offense we have had here in many, many years.
 

CatPowered

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Jan 3, 2003
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Good Analysis.....

I also think we will see great results in the Dawson hire. Brown was not a bad coach, he just had so many young players last year....and I think that Dawson's personality is blending better with the QB instruction.
 
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K_TIME

Heisman
Jan 2, 2003
18,100
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Offensive line still worries me, especially the tackle position. If we can keep Towles upright, our offensive production will be off the charts. I have the same feeling about Dawson. I think he will be a great one. This could be the best offense we have had here in many, many years.

I agree this is the kryptonite for UK's offense right now...the tackles were shaky last year and projected to depend so much of GAA at OT...he's going to have his growing pains with elite pass rushers own our schedule.

But UK's play maker in different varieties is really nice option to have...
- Boom and his speed out of backfield
- Timmons and his feet/hopefully slot WR routes he'll acclimate to.
- Bone and his crazy length on the outside
- Badet and his elite speed to stretch defense
- And Garret is our most solid WR
- Not to mention what Conrad may give us at TE and Baker looks ridiculous

I just really hope the tackles are at least mediocre to allow this much talent to shine this year. Also, I really like Dawson asking the interior OL to get out of 2 point stance and back to traditional 3pt stance to generate more power/leverage in running game. I just never liked the idea of trying to power run when all of your OL where in 2pt stance so often.

UK really needs to finish in top 40 nationally in scoring offense this year to take another step forward to me.
 

Levibooty

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Jun 29, 2005
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Nice write-up but I think this comment is off the mark about Towles, "Accuracy is the only real question mark". I hope our OL improves and makes the pocket a safer place for Towles this year, because it needs to for UK to be really good. Even though I agree with you that Towles accuracy could stand to get better my biggest concern was his locking onto one receiver from the snap. That was a problem for him all year long best exemplified with his pick-six against Vanderbilt.

To me the game never "slowed down" for Towles last year and he never understood how to step up into the pocket. That resulted in "happy feet" and too many bail-outs when receivers were breaking wide open or RB's were left alone in the flat like in the Mizzou game. There is one play against La-Monroe I think where there was a camera angle behind the QB that clearly shows a receiver breaking open by two steps right in front of Towles just when he bails and runs into a sack.

I hope Towles matures and I think he will but he has a lot of issues he needs to clean up to be an effective QB in the SEC. With his talent if he can clean up some of his "rookie issues" he will be a tremendous QB for Kentucky.
 

zcats

Heisman
May 29, 2001
38,031
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Great write up Eric, I would point out your first point is clearly the most important. UK did not have the experience or mature talent to compete the last couple of years. When fans judge Coach Brown you have to give him credit for the job he did with a completely depleted roster. Stoops and Brown took their lumps the last couple of years, recruited this team and played them before they were ready because Joker left the cupboard empty. I hope Coach Dawson does great but I don't see the problems with last year's offense a result of coaching. When we weren't physically over matched the offense operated reasonably well. We really scrambled to find any consistency at QB in Stoop's first year and a lot of people wrote off Towles. The fact that he had as good a year as he did means someone was coaching him. I hope Dawson builds and improves on the foundation we have now. He has stated many times that he has never had so much depth to work with. We finally have some talent on offense with some game experience. Go Cats!
 
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buckkiller

All-Conference
Nov 6, 2003
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I hope Patrick can stay in the Pocket longer. I think the O line was better then people thought due to the fact Patrick would bail and run from a perfectly formed pocket hence missing wide open receivers. The O line did have their struggles at time but Pat has to trust them more this year. He needs to step into pocket more. The false starts must be fixxed as well. All in All it will be a better product on the field when its all said and done.
 
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RealCat41

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Nice write-up but I think this comment is off the mark about Towles, "Accuracy is the only real question mark". I hope our OL improves and makes the pocket a safer place for Towles this year, because it needs to for UK to be really good. Even though I agree with you that Towles accuracy could stand to get better my biggest concern was his locking onto one receiver from the snap. That was a problem for him all year long best exemplified with his pick-six against Vanderbilt.

To me the game never "slowed down" for Towles last year and he never understood how to step up into the pocket. That resulted in "happy feet" and too many bail-outs when receivers were breaking wide open or RB's were left alone in the flat like in the Mizzou game. There is one play against La-Monroe I think where there was a camera angle behind the QB that clearly shows a receiver breaking open by two steps right in front of Towles just when he bails and runs into a sack.

I hope Towles matures and I think he will but he has a lot of issues he needs to clean up to be an effective QB in the SEC. With his talent if he can clean up some of his "rookie issues" he will be a tremendous QB for Kentucky.

Heck with all his rookie mistakes he had the 6 or 7 best year ever for a UK QB.

After the Mississippi State game he became only the second QB in the last 20 years to put up over 475 yards of offense again a number 1 ranked team. The only other was a guy named Manziel.

The ceiling is really high for this young man.
 

Glenn Fohr

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Jan 5, 2003
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Yep, pocket presence, not locking on to one receiver, no more happy feet. I think these were all summer homework for PattyIce. If he has cured these we will be in business.
 

C1180

Sophomore
Dec 21, 2001
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Johnny "Football" Manzel and Texas A&M had a great season a few years back just out scoring other teams. They had a very weak defense. Could UK have a somewhat replica of that Texas A&M season if Towles blows up and has an outstanding year at QB this season? That Texas A&M team also had a very good OL so that is a very important variable. UKs OL would have to hold up for this to be in any way possible.
 

Mr Schwump

Heisman
Nov 4, 2006
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Johnny "Football" Manzel and Texas A&M had a great season a few years back just out scoring other teams. They had a very weak defense. Could UK have a somewhat replica of that Texas A&M season if Towles blows up and has an outstanding year at QB this season? That Texas A&M team also had a very good OL so that is a very important variable. UKs OL would have to hold up for this to be in any way possible.

Not unless they find a WR like Mike Evans.
 
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wildcatbd21

All-Conference
Feb 4, 2007
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This offense will be fun to watch.
-The OL should be improved with 6 or 7 guys having starting experience and GAA being a freak athlete at Tackle. They are the key to the offense. Nothing works unless they get their jobs done.
-I am going to call it that Towles will be the starting QB. And he will be a great one. I look for him to be at 300 yards per game with 28 TDs, 8 ints. Barker will be the backup and get good game experience throughout the season.
- WRs ant TEs will be vastly improved. Johnson, Timmons, and Badet will be the leaders. With Baker, Snodgrass, Conrad, and Long making major contributions.
-RBs will be the best we have seen in a while. Boom will lead the way with Kemp, Horton, and King all contributing. I think this group, with the help of the OLine, can give us 200 yards per game.

I am going to say the offense will put up 505 yards and 37 points per game.
 

CatDaddy4daWin

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Great writeup Erik! We're leaving out Montgomery who will be a killer as a possession receiver and in the redzone. As well as Snodgrass who gives us another tall body at WR. Not sure how much he contributes but the kid has tremendous upside.

The oline gets justifiable heat for last years performance but if you go back and rewatch some games you'll also see plenty of missed blocks/assignments by the RBs and TEs, as well as Towles either running into the rush or not stepping up in the pocket. I truly believe the oline will get it done this year but those other guys have got to help protect the QB and Towles needs to step into the pocket and deliver strikes.
 

DaBossIsBack

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We've got a lot of wrs and we will use them all. All four running backs will be used as well. 85 plays a game will be the goal and I think Dawson will make it happen. At least one wr, maybe two wrs, will set themselves apart as the most reliable at getting open an catching the ball. My money is on Johnson and Baker.
 

Anon1660081258

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We are really well set up with receivers to run the legs off a starting secondary. It will be really interesting to see what some of Dawson's game plans look like. Getting a secondary tired or disorganized/uncoordinated by substitution is a sold foundation for producing explosive plays in both the running and passing games.
 

JC CATS

Heisman
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As always great post Eric. I hope you are right, if we can score 30 a game that should keep us in a lot of games
 
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SDcatfan13

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If the defense could have made just 2 easy plays, Boom goes down with 2 of the ALL TIME legendary plays in just his freshman year. Gonna be awesome.

Feel that Towles is going to have a mobster break out season. Nationally. With better WRs, RBs the defense will have to respect, and a better OL and another year to work on things (mainly footwork in the pocket honesty), he is going to absolutely take off.

Young WRs struggled to get open in the SEC last year. Thats going to change, and that will change the entire offense. And yes, Conrad will struggle at times, but he will add a HUGE dynamic to the offense as well.
 

Mr Schwump

Heisman
Nov 4, 2006
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Saw on another site the D had 6 straight sacks today(Fri 8/14). Hardly instills confidence in the OL.
 

JasonS.

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Heck with all his rookie mistakes he had the 6 or 7 best year ever for a UK QB.

By what metric? His QBR and QB rating were lower than Jalen Whitlow's and Max Smith's in 2013, respectively.

I don't say that to bag on Towles, but to suggest he's got a ton of unrealized upside.This is the year to do it.
 
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Anon1712931820

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I love Shannon Dawson. Love love love. Man Crush love.

This guy has the confidence and swagger that it takes to run a high powered offense. He isn't going to back down from anyone and seems to be the type who will hit you where it hurts early. Brown was more of a philosopher when it came to his offense where as Dawson is a "I know I am better than you and I'll show it" kind of guy.

Big things coming up for UK Football. BIG things.
 
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CB3UK

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When I see Erik posting breakdowns, I know Wildcat football can't be far away. Praise the Lord!
 
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UKWinsAgainYep

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I agree with the OP that we are loaded at receiver. I really believe we have one of the best groups of receivers in the whole SEC. I think it's the strength of our whole team.

We have elite talent and serious depth at that position. I see breakout years for Timmons and Johnson. Then you add serious depth with Baker, Bone, Badet, Snodgrass, Montgomery, etc......That is some serious talent folks.

To compensate for the Tackle issue, I hope Dawson frequently uses a RB to help with blocking, which could enable us to have a little more time for pass plays to develop.
 

C1180

Sophomore
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Not unless they find a WR like Mike Evans.

Sir you are the ultimate Debbie Downer. I can not remember a positive post that you have ever made about UK football.

I do not know if UK will have any receivers near as talented as A&Ms Evens but they do have a lot of very good WR and one might be a reasonable substitute and I do not remember A&M being all that great at WR besides Evens. UK can throw a lot of talented WRs out there. I am not worried about the WRs but as I said OL could be a problem. IMO the key is Towles and if he has had a good to great progression UKs offense could put a lot of point on the board
 
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C1180

Sophomore
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Saw on another site the D had 6 straight sacks today(Fri 8/14). Hardly instills confidence in the OL.

Again another half empty post. How about the possibility that the Cats defense might be improving and had a good day against a good UK offense. I do have some doubts about the OL but feel it could very well be much better than last season. Look on the bright side a bit it will make you feel better. Have a few shots of Kentucky best and chill a little.
 
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Mr Schwump

Heisman
Nov 4, 2006
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Sir you are the ultimate Debbie Downer. I can not remember a positive post that you have ever made about UK football.

I do not know if UK will have any receivers near as talented as A&Ms Evens but they do have a lot of very good WR and one might be a reasonable substitute and I do not remember A&M being all that great at WR besides Evens. UK can throw a lot of talented WRs out there. I am not worried about the WRs but as I said OL could be a problem. IMO the key is Towles and if he has had a good to great progression UKs offense could put a lot of point on the board

Whatever C.
 

Bigbluediddy63

Freshman
Feb 1, 2011
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Before looking ahead to the coming season, here's a quick review of 2014 and some thoughts on what went right and wrong.

When reflecting on '14, the first thing that jumps out at me is the ridiculous amount of youth on the offensive unit. Patrick Towles was an underclassman first year starter. Boom Williams was a freshman (overall, UK had almost no experience at running back). Four of UK's top six wide receivers were underclassman. Three freshman lineman played (Haynes, Meyers, and Meadows). Toth was only a sophomore.

Predictably, there were times when the offense struggled. UK finished 79th nationally with 384 yards per game. Kentucky was a woeful 110th in third down conversion rate. They were 101st in sacks allowed. Much of those last two numbers can be attributed to UK's inability to stay out of 3rd and long. UK's offensive line was also incredibly inexperienced. Other than Toth and the departed Darrian Miller, it was a challenge to find reasons for optimism.

On the flip side, there were some positives. UK played three freshman on the o-line. All should be better for it (and all are projected to start this season). Toth emerged as a very good center. Boom Williams averaged 6.6 yards per carry. Towles was picked off just nine times in nearly 400 attempts. UK played a boatload of very young guys at WR. So no question, the '15 offense will be a more experienced group. But will they be better? I think it would be very hard to make a case that they won't be.

Patrick Towles has a very valuable year under his belt. The junior passed for over 2700 yards in an offense that was, at times, pretty awful. Towles is a guy that can also do some damage with his feet. He has a big arm. Accuracy is the only real question mark, IMO. Allegedly, he's gotten better in that area. Either way, I'm confident Dawson will do a better job than Brown of putting Towles in a position to succeed. JMO of course.

UK has no shortage of skill guys, especially at wide receiver. Kentucky returns four of their top six receivers, led by Ryan Timmons. Timmons truly is an elite athlete, but consistency has been a major road block for him. Getting Jeff Badet back is absolutely huge. Garrett Johnson, Dorian Baker, and Blake Bone are young guys that played a ton of snaps as freshman. There are more names as well (LOL; UK really has loaded up at this position). Overall, you have to figure Kentucky is going to be MUCH better at WR this season.

I really like UK's running backs. I wish there was a little more depth, but I'll take Williams/Horton/Kemp. I think Boom could be one of the bigger surprises nationally. He has tremendous athletic ability. Just need to get him more touches. In addition to the 6.6 yards per carry, Williams averaged nearly 10 yards per reception (17 catches). Hopefully, Dawson can get Boom ***at least*** 17-18 touches per game.

That leaves the big fellas. At tight end, I think everyone is excited to get a look at C.J. Conrad. Having that kid develop into a legit "between the hash marks" threat would be huge for this offense. UK looks to actually have a little depth at tackle and guard. Inside, we're probably looking at a starting duo of Nick Haynes and Ramsey Meyers. Senior Zach West (30 career starts) will battle for one of those spots. Outside, veteran Jordan Swindle and SO Kyle Meadows are projected to start, though it seems like just a matter of time before George Asafo-Ajdei replaces Meadows (could be sooner than later). UK has one of the nations better centers in Jon Toth, (Rimington Trophy watch list). Toth is a two year starter and UK's top lineman.

I'm most anxious to see UK's new OC in action. For whatever reason, I've never been as excited about a coordinator hire as I am with Shannon Dawson. Maybe it's the scheme he's going to use. Maybe it's just that has the "it" factor. Not sure where it comes from really, but I have a lot of confidence in Dawson. I think he's going to be absolutely outstanding.

So where does that leave the offense? I think they'll be very good. I'm thinking something along the lines of 430+ yards and 30+ points per game. Looking for a big season from this group.

GBB!!!
Thanks for the post
 

jauk11

Heisman
Dec 6, 2006
60,631
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By what metric? His QBR and QB rating were lower than Jalen Whitlow's and Max Smith's in 2013, respectively.

I don't say that to bag on Towles, but to suggest he's got a ton of unrealized upside.This is the year to do it.

I'd like to see those stats, more TDs, less interceptions?
 
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AJ Blue

Freshman
Jun 14, 2013
511
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Erik, I agree on Dawson. I was excited for Brown but started doubting early on when I sensed hesitancy and a little timidity on his part. Wanted to play fast but we never could because we always seemed unsure of ourselves. I know a lot of that was because we just couldn't execute like he wanted and we never saw the real Neal Brown offense in action, but the one thing I'm looking for is fearlessness. Call your play, line up and go. Dawson seems to be that kind of coordinator. Trust your guys, turn them loose and put the defense on their heels. I always felt we were the ones leaning backwards while the defense teed off on us instead of the only around. You don't have to go no huddle to do that either, just line up with a purpose and snap it quick (instead of sitting there checking yourself into paralysis) and execute with an attitude of - StopThis! I'm sensing Dawson is more like this
 

WildCard

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May 29, 2001
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...I'm most anxious to see UK's new OC in action. For whatever reason, I've never been as excited about a coordinator hire as I am with Shannon Dawson. Maybe it's the scheme he's going to use. Maybe it's just that has the "it" factor. Not sure where it comes from really, but I have a lot of confidence in Dawson. I think he's going to be absolutely outstanding.

So where does that leave the offense? I think they'll be very good. I'm thinking something along the lines of 430+ yards and 30+ points per game. Looking for a big season from this group.

GBB!!!
Reasonable expectations. FWIW, numbers guru Phil Steele projects UK's 2015 offense to be 133 yards rushing, 289 passing and 31.1 PPG.

EDIT: The above numbers are up from 387 total YPG and 29.2 PPG last year. However, the Cats scored a whopping 6 non-offense TDs last year boosting the scoring by 3.5 PPG. Very unlikely the offense will get that much direct help from the defense again this year. I have no idea how Steele accounts for defensive/ST scoring.

Peace
 
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JasonS.

All-American
Oct 10, 2001
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Reasonable expectations. FWIW, numbers guru Phil Steele projects UK's 2015 offense to be 133 yards rushing, 289 passing and 31.1 PPG.

Peace

I'd take that. Ideally, I'd want those to be our stats in SEC play but that may be a little optimistic.
 

C1180

Sophomore
Dec 21, 2001
32,443
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I would be much more comfortable if it was 175 yards rushing, 32O yards passing and 37 points per game.
 

CatDaddy4daWin

All-Conference
Dec 11, 2013
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Reasonable expectations. FWIW, numbers guru Phil Steele projects UK's 2015 offense to be 133 yards rushing, 289 passing and 31.1 PPG.

EDIT: The above numbers are up from 387 total YPG and 29.2 PPG last year. However, the Cats scored a whopping 6 non-offense TDs last year boosting the scoring by 3.5 PPG. Very unlikely the offense will get that much direct help from the defense again this year. I have no idea how Steele accounts for defensive/ST scoring.

Peace
We'll have more than 133 yards rushing/game. I'd guess we're probably closer to 175. Close to 500 yards/game would be my guess. 450-500, in that range.