I'm normally a little pessimistic, but I have some optimism for this season. My history is that we do better in seasons when I'm pessimistic. There is reason for optimism, but there are two very good reasons for pessimism. We see which one wins. I can absolutely see us going 13-0. But I can also see us going 9-3 or even worse.
I really don't like the hurry up offense at warp speed, which is what I keep hearing being discussed. The faster you go on offense, the more plays you have there, and the more plays you have on defense. The more plays both ways, the more attrition you have on your depth chart. This team has places where the depth chart is a concern. Add to that, a whole new offense and a whole new defense. The guys have been bought in, and those with an optimistic view have sound reasoning for that view.
I think there is a reason why the 22 years of the 21st century, that several programs, including OU, have won an NC in the second year of a new regime. But not the first year. It takes a while for things to become mastered enough to be truly aggressive. So I'm going to pick 9-3, while hoping for 13-0 with a trip to the CFP. And if this hurry up, leads to a qb injury because the OLine hasn't mastered blitz pickup schemes, then depending on when, something resembling Stoops' first year is very possible.
We all now show a lot of disdain for the name Lincoln Riley, and I share that. But he as smart enough to learn that super fast offense, causes attrition to his depth chart, and he slowed down his offense. Last season, being a desertion aberration, slowing down got him six straight conference titles. The defense never got great, but it did improve at least a little. I think it will take that for this coaching staff to achieve the goals they seek.