Early line for UK vs Wright St

[CatEye2010]

UK -21.5 on Fan Dual. Too much? About right?

I'm leaning toward about right.

GO CATS!!

 

[Aike]

Sounds about right. I don’t think they’ll be able to guard us at all, but they have enough offense that we should expect some big runs.

I’m not going to be surprised if it’s in the 105-82 range.

 

[akaukswoosh]

About right. I think we cover.

 

[akaukswoosh]

Sportsline has it UK -20.

 

[CatEye2010]

Sounds about right. I don’t think they’ll be able to guard us at all, but they have enough offense that we should expect some big runs.

I’m not going to be surprised if it’s in the 105-82 range.

The O/U is 158, so you could be pretty close.

 

[Jim Malone Lt.]

Going to be a high scoring game. Wright ST played at a very high temp last season. Should be a fun watch.

 

[JwUKFan11]

Little much for me. I’d go under if I were to bet it .

 

[ukcatz12]

A fairly big line in the first game for a program with a brand new coach and completely new team? Gotta stay away from that one.

 

[docholiday51]

I like the over in this one, Pope will want to catch some attention.

 

[westerncat]

Here in Western part of the state we do not have the posters with the seclude out yet ? Why so late getting them out. I have a 96 year old Aunt that loves you UK and I need to get her one. And this another one of those games that will be on SEC+ ?

 

[RexBowie]

Kentucky is a good bet there

 

[chroix]

The O/U is 158, so you could be pretty close.

189/158 is not that close IMO. Over feels like a safe-ish bet.

 

[know1]

The O/U is 158, so you could be pretty close.

Might want to try that math again.

 

[The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread]

I’ll take Wright State points in this one and under . Big deviation from 17 points and 155 (86-69) that KenPom has it at.

 

[CatEye2010]

Might want to try that math again.

You're right; I was doing it in my head in a hurry.

 

[CatEye2010]

189/158 is not that close IMO. Over feels like a safe-ish bet.

And it's 187/158; watch out, know1-it-all is the board math police today.

 

[bluedog79]

Take the under. You'll be happy if you win but you'll also be happy if you lose....
Win win

 

[KMKAT]

You can take Wright St and still feel good about the team.
That's a large spread and Wright St. will be out to prove themselves as well.
These teams that come into Rupp at the beginning of the season look forward to the challenge.

 

[RexBowie]

Will Kentucky win big? Probably.
Will they win by > 20. Probably.
Is Wright State that much better than Mankato? Doubt it.

Kentucky is the safe bet at -21.5. I’d get nervous at -25

 

[BBNinSC_rivals62411]

Here in Western part of the state we do not have the posters with the seclude out yet ? Why so late getting them out. I have a 96 year old Aunt that loves you UK and I need to get her one. And this another one of those games that will be on SEC+ ?

The game is at 7:00 on ESPNU and ESPN + on the app.

 

[J-Ryan]

I just hope the phenomenon of a nobody player coming into Rupp and morphing into a lottery pick for one game goes away now lol.

 

[The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread]

Will Kentucky win big? Probably.
Will they win by > 20. Probably.
Is Wright State that much better than Mankato? Doubt it.

Kentucky is the safe bet at -21.5. I’d get nervous at -25

Torvik and KenPom both agree it’s not a safe bet.

 

[RexBowie]

Torvik and KenPom both agree it’s not a safe bet.

First game of the season. Torvik and KenPom are next to worthless.

 

[The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread]

First game of the season. Torvik and KenPom are next to worthless

Wrong. KenPom’s margin of error on the scores for each game if the Champions Classic year was within 3 points.

 

[RexBowie]

Wrong. KenPom’s margin of error on the scores for each game if the Champions Classic year was within 3 points.

That doesn’t mean anything to me, but then don’t take the bet esse’. I made $800 off about 20 UK basketball bets last year. I feel good about it.

 

[The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread]

$800 is cute. Talk to me when you want to play for real.

 

[RexBowie]

$800 is cute. Talk to me when you want to play for real.

“Trust me. I’m such a degenerate gambler”

What odds you want to give me on -20.5?

 

[TortElvisII]

Holding out for Sak kat to decide.

 

[kywildcat1021979]

Kentucky by 40 and I’m not wavering!

 

[Jamal Mercer]

-19.5 on MGM.

IMO the line SHOULD be around -16.5

 

[*Fox2Monk*]

Sportsline has it UK -20.

According to the O/U we should expect around a 91-68 style game. I can definitely see that.

 

[*Fox2Monk*]

Holding out for Sak kat to decide.

 

[RexBowie]

@The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread right now

 

[Runt#1969]

According to the O/U we should expect around a 91-68 style game. I can definitely see that.

I picked 97 - 62. Not too shabby.

 

[RexBowie]

Kentucky wins big, I win money and crow is served.

@KAB Cats trifecta right there. Not bad for a peon

 

[*Fox2Monk*]

Pope earned that kiss from his wife tonight .

 

[The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread]

@The_Ghost_of_Born_and_Bread right now

Doesn’t make it a statistically good bet. Ignoramus.

 

[RexBowie]

Doesn’t make it a statistically good bet. Ignoramus.

You still don’t get it. I’m all for data driven objectivism, but you’re basing decisions off two teams with new coaches, Kentucky coming off a bad shooting night last game and 13 new players. No statistical model is going to account for that in their first game because there is no basis. Furthermore, you bet against Kentucky on the opening night of a first year Kentucky coach at Rupp Arena with a lineup chalked full of three point shooters.

Now, I normally wouldn’t brag about gambling as it’s called gambling for a reason, but you earned this L.

Also, my 800 is now 940.

Thank you