NIT: 3 games over rule of thumb
"We were in the post season mix two seasons ago? I bet to differ on that one."
Every year since the tournament shrunk back to 32 teams, the NIT has at least taken one school from an elite conference that finishes 3 games over .500 (non-conference auto bids really determine how many of said teams get in) - see below.
As Jules pointed out, the 'Cats were 13-10 (4-6) and in a dog fight with Iowa until the Swopshire and Olah injuries finally broke their back in the 2nd week of February. I cut last year's team (12-11) some lack because of the 5-5 start to conference play and how strong the defense was performing. It should be noted there were several NIT threads on this board both years (not to mention Turk's 2014 "We're a lock for the NIT...9th seed in the West" proclamation).
Even without the luxury of hindsight, was a postseason birth likely for both squads? Clearly not. But a .500 finish in 2013 and 5-3 finish last year would have gotten those teams to 3 games over. Given the accumulated data 10 games into conference play, the NIT was at least a possibility at the time, which was the gist of the post you contested.
Just to back up my case here's 5 years of data:
2014 NIT - Georgetown 17-14, West Virginia 17-15
2013 NIT - Providence 17-14, Washington 18-15, St. Johns 16-15
2012 NIT - Iowa 17-16
2011 NIT - California 17-14
2010 NIT*- Cincinnati 18-15 Texas Tech 17-15, St. John's 17-15, Connecticut 17-15, North Carolina 16-16
*20-13 (7-11) Northwestern was at least 1 seed below all the previously mentioned schools. Thanks selection committee.
This post was edited on 2/20 3:03 PM by ColumbusCatFan1