kenpom pre-season numbers up

[backdoorpass]

Ken Pomroy has the 'Cats raned #61 in his initial index for the 2016-17 season. For now, his predictive numbers say that we will go 17-13 and 8-10 in the B1G through the end of the regular season. I'm expecting better! Go 'Cats!

FYI: Here are the kenpom rankings for all B1G teams:

8-UW
13-OSU
14-MSU
15-PU
16-IU
31-MICH
48-MD
55-IOWA
61-NU
70-ILL
71-MINN
87-NEB
98-PSU
191-RU

 

[NJCat]

Ken Pomroy has the 'Cats raned #61 in his initial index for the 2016-17 season. For now, his predictive numbers say that we will go 17-13 and 8-10 in the B1G through the end of the regular season. I'm expecting better! Go 'Cats!

FYI: Here are the kenpom rankings for all B1G teams:

8-UW
13-OSU
14-MSU
15-PU
16-IU
31-MICH
48-MD
55-IOWA
61-NU
70-ILL
71-MINN
87-NEB
98-PSU
191-RU

Record seems about right. OOC schedule harder this season than last. I could see 9-9 in the Big 10 given the schedule NU plays but not 10 wins. This season the team will be better but probably won't have as good a record as last.

Some OOC Numbers:

MVSU 336
Eastern Wash 250
Butler 19
Texas 30
Colorado 56 OR ND 50
Wake Forest 76
De Paul 177
Dayton 37

Five top 100 KenPom OOC games is a significant upgrade over previous seasons.....

 

[backdoorpass]

Record seems about right. OOC schedule harder this season than last. I could see 9-9 in the Big 10 given the schedule NU plays but not 10 wins. This season the team will be better but probably won't have as good a record as last.

I am more hopeful than you are. Digging into the predicted individual game results, kenpom has us with:
* 1-point loss (3x)
* 2-point loss (3x)
* 3-point loss (2x)

Of course, there are some close wins predicted, too. But I believe that an improved team and a more experienced lineup can flip some of these close games. If we go from the predicted 17 wins to 20 or 21 wins, we will be in the conversation for an NCAA Tournament berth going into the BTT. I'd like to think that this is within reach. (But, then again, I am usually among the more optimistic fans at this time of year.)

By the way, I saw that Drew Crawford just missed the final cut yesterday for the 15th spot on the Toronto Raptors regular season roster. They kept a backup point guard instead of him. So close.

 

[rwhitney014]

Record seems about right. OOC schedule harder this season than last. I could see 9-9 in the Big 10 given the schedule NU plays but not 10 wins. This season the team will be better but probably won't have as good a record as last.

Some OOC Numbers:

MVSU 336
Eastern Wash 250
Butler 19
Texas 30
Colorado 56 OR ND 50
Wake Forest 76
De Paul 177
Dayton 37

Five top 100 KenPom OOC games is a significant upgrade over previous seasons.....

Ugh, that MVSU game is such an anchor on RPI.

 

[NJCat]

Ugh, that MVSU game is such an anchor on RPI.

Well, in addition to NU, the Delta Devils play West Virginia, Kent State, Michigan State, Indiana, Gonzaga, Iowa State and Drake, so it kind of washes out. All except NU have been to the NCAA Dance.

Tough OOC schedule for the Devs.

 

[spartcat]

Interesting that the Biggest 14 has #13, 14, 15, and 16 (OSU, MSU, Purdue, IU) plus Wisconsin is in the top 10. Sounds like a massive battle for the top spot.

BTW, MSU has already lost both of its veteran bigs with knee surgeries (Skilling and a grad transfer). One true frosh is all they have left above 6'8. If they are out for the year, we have a serious chance to out-rebound the Spartans. If we have some good back up play for "the dime" (really?) we could seriously out-perform our preseason ranking.

 

[Fitz51]

Sounds about right. Looking forward to the season!

 

[Wrestlerneverdiesasacatfan]

Injuries are huge for teams