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KenPom rankings since 2002

M

mikewebb68

Senior
Oct 24, 2009
9,811
501
113
Just noticed that KenPom maintains team rankings on its home page for every season since 2001-2002.

So I thought that it might be interesting to list our rankings from the 2001-2 season to the present to see what trends there have been over the last 18 seasons.

So here they are!

2001-2: #90
2002-3: #167
2003-4: #100
2004-5: #124
2005-6: #123
2006-7: #136
2007-8: #191
2008-9: #65
2009-10: #84
2010-11: #50
2011-12: #72
2012-13: #132
2013-14: #134
2014-15: #122
2015-16: #68
2016-17: #38
2017-18: #85
2018-19: #60 (current: season not yet complete)

Some hot takes:

Aside from the expected decline related to the coaching change which started in Carmody's final season (2012-3), the long-term trend has generally been upward.

Nice that it has been 5 seasons since we were not a top-100 team (there is not much of a chance we can drop from 60 to 100+ this season, given a schedule where everyone is currently top-100 except Rutgers, and even they are a respectable 121). Hopefully, our days of being outside the top-100 are over!

Wow, 2016-17 was cool!

Any other comments?
 
C

CappyNU

Junior
Mar 2, 2004
5,158
336
83
mikewebb68 said:
Just noticed that KenPom maintains team rankings on its home page for every season since 2001-2002.

So I thought that it might be interesting to list our rankings from the 2001-2 season to the present to see what trends there have been over the last 18 seasons.

So here they are!

2001-2: #90
2002-3: #167
2003-4: #100
2004-5: #124
2005-6: #123
2006-7: #136
2007-8: #191
2008-9: #65
2009-10: #84
2010-11: #50
2011-12: #72
2012-13: #132
2013-14: #134
2014-15: #122
2015-16: #68
2016-17: #38
2017-18: #85
2018-19: #60 (current: season not yet complete)

Some hot takes:

Aside from the expected decline related to the coaching change which started in Carmody's final season (2012-3), the long-term trend has generally been upward.

Nice that it has been 5 seasons since we were not a top-100 team (there is not much of a chance we can drop from 60 to 100+ this season, given a schedule where everyone is currently top-100 except Rutgers, and even they are a respectable 121). Hopefully, our days of being outside the top-100 are over!

Wow, 2016-17 was cool!

Any other comments?
Click to expand...
A smaller subset, but here's what our rankings were at this point in the season (only goes back to 2010-11 season):

2011: 45
2012: 47
2013: 103
2014: 169
2015: 138
2016: 71
2017: 31
2018: 78
2019: 60
 
Alvious

Alvious

Junior
Sep 6, 2010
2,631
344
83
Just think where we'd be ranked if we scored one more basket against Indiana, Michigan, and Oklahoma.
 
C

CappyNU

Junior
Mar 2, 2004
5,158
336
83
Alvious said:
Just think where we'd be ranked if we scored one more basket against Indiana, Michigan, and Oklahoma.
Click to expand...
Per Bart Torvik's Teamcast tool, it projects that had we won those 3 games, we would go from having a 0.1% chance of making the tournament to being one of the last 4 in. Obviously that estimates the rest of the season assuming there is no change in any other team, which is unrealistic, but I think this answers your question.
 
T

torque-cat

Redshirt
Dec 11, 2018
1,234
0
0
Alvious said:
Just think where we'd be ranked if we scored one more basket against Indiana, Michigan, and Oklahoma.
Click to expand...

I think there have been a handful of teams in the past 10 years which have had borderline tourney talent and needed a few things to go their way to get in. That happened 2 yrs ago. As noted below we are a couple baskets from being projected into the tourney even now, but we haven't had those things go our way and the BT is just brutal where a borderline team like us is going to get exposed. There were also the old NU curse years--everyone transferring from talented Foster team, Geno leaving just as Esch gets healthy and becomes an all-american, Vukusic getting hurt when we had Jitim, Hardy and others, Coble getting injured, mom getting sick and then leaving the team when we had Juice, Shurna, Crawford, Moore.
 
B

blockm2

Senior
Jul 9, 2001
4,354
584
0
Alvious said:
Just think where we'd be ranked if we scored one more basket against Indiana, Michigan, and Oklahoma.
Click to expand...

well the KenPom ranking would be near identical if there was 1 more basket in each of those 3 games since KenPom cares about efficiency margins and doesn't care about wins and losses. 3 extra baskets would barely budge a season long rating.
 
M

mikewebb68

Senior
Oct 24, 2009
9,811
501
113
Fitzphile said:
Been a couple of days since the last BC-related thread. Thanks for stirring the pot.
Click to expand...

Not my intent at all, Just happened to notice that KenPom went back this far on its home page and thought the rankings would be interesting to share.
 
M

mikewebb68

Senior
Oct 24, 2009
9,811
501
113
CappyNU said:
A smaller subset, but here's what our rankings were at this point in the season (only goes back to 2010-11 season):

2011: 45
2012: 47
2013: 103
2014: 169
2015: 138
2016: 71
2017: 31
2018: 78
2019: 60
Click to expand...

Couldn't reach much into this; looks like we faded about as many times as we surged or stayed roughly even.
 
M

mikewebb68

Senior
Oct 24, 2009
9,811
501
113
mikewebb68 said:
Just noticed that KenPom maintains team rankings on its home page for every season since 2001-2002.

So I thought that it might be interesting to list our rankings from the 2001-2 season to the present to see what trends there have been over the last 18 seasons.

So here they are!

2001-2: #90
2002-3: #167
2003-4: #100
2004-5: #124
2005-6: #123
2006-7: #136
2007-8: #191
2008-9: #65
2009-10: #84
2010-11: #50
2011-12: #72
2012-13: #132
2013-14: #134
2014-15: #122
2015-16: #68
2016-17: #38
2017-18: #85
2018-19: #60 (current: season not yet complete)

Some hot takes:

Aside from the expected decline related to the coaching change which started in Carmody's final season (2012-3), the long-term trend has generally been upward.

Nice that it has been 5 seasons since we were not a top-100 team (there is not much of a chance we can drop from 60 to 100+ this season, given a schedule where everyone is currently top-100 except Rutgers, and even they are a respectable 121). Hopefully, our days of being outside the top-100 are over!

Wow, 2016-17 was cool!

Any other comments?
Click to expand...

Our final KenPom ranking for 2018-19 was #74. So, as bad as this season was, still our sixth best (out of 18) rankings since 2001-2
 
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