It never ceases to amaze me the love affair with Jones from this fan base. Don't get me wrong, I like Matt as a person. I think he has poured his heart in to Duke basketball, and his effort is never less than 100%. He is a good defender but not the lock down some try and make him out to be. Offensively he is extremely limited. He cannot create off the bounce and his game is completely dependent on others giving him mostly wide open looks at 3's and his shooting percentage is still not good. If he continues to be a 30+ minute per game guy then Duke is going nowhere in March. He needs to play 20 minutes per game tops. In my opinion, Duke should roll out the following lineup on Saturday:
PG - Jackson...enough is enough. This teams needs a spark and this guy is the best bet to provide it. He can break down a defense and score/kick to open shooters and has the strength/speed to guard opposing point guards. He needs to play 30+ minutes every time out until he proves he just cannot do it. I think with consistent minutes he could easily average 12-15 points and 5 assists per game. Easy.
SG - Kennard. Capel benching him was a complete and utter embarrassment to basketball coaching. Yes he has his problems on defense (not as bad as some make it out to be, but definitely average at best) but he is Duke's most efficient scorer and also one of the best in the country when you look at the numbers. Should play 32-35 minutes plus each game and the offense needs to run through him...9 shots a game won't cut it.
SF - Tatum. Yes he is auditioning for the NBA more than he is playing for Duke but the cold hard reality is that Tatum is Duke's most talented all-around player. If they are going to make a run in March, Tatum will have to put up numbers and I think he can. Just needs to play within the team concept and make better decisions.
PF - Jefferson. Amile is still not healthy but prior to his injury, he was really, really good. Thing is, he is not a 5 and has been asked to do that way too much on this years team. He is a double double waiting to happen and there is not a player on the roster that is respected as a leader more than Amile.
C - Bolden. In my opinion, all this teams needs from Bolden is for him to defend the post. From strictly a body standpoint, he gives Duke it's best chance at an inside presence on defense. He needs to play strong and physical and not allow opposing big men to go off like they have pretty much all season. I really like what I have seen from Bolden of late. He just needs to play with intensity for 20 minutes per game, with Giles spelling him if he gets in foul trouble or is ineffective.
6th Man - Allen. How can anyone not feel for this young man? Coming in to the season he was pretty much the best bet for national player of the year and now in late January he is not even in the discussion for first team all conference. Just crazy how this year has played out for him. With that said, when Grayson is right, he still is one of the best offensive players in the country. He needs to come off the bench and replace Luke and Frank and look to score. He's not a point guard and the coaches need to get him back to slashing to the goal and hunting his shot. Grayson has tried really hard to be a distributor and it's just not his thing. Let Frank do that and get back to being Grayson.
7th man - Giles. He and Bolden should split the center rotation and he can also spell Amile at the 4. Look, Giles did not play basketball for two years. He is going to be a stud, just not going to happen his freshman year at Duke...too much time off and with Duke struggling to win, he just cannot be given the minutes he needs to truly play himself back in to being the player he was in high school before the injuries. He can be a very valuable piece of the puzzle though...just needs to be willing to take on a lesser role for the good of the team.
8th man - Jones. As I mentioned above, needs to play 15-20 minutes per night and perhaps a little more if Duke holds a larger lead late and you want to close them out with a better defensive lineup.
That's my take on what gives Duke the best chance to win but the fact is, the biggest issue for Duke is playing team basketball. If these guys do not gel as a basketball team really soon this season will go down as the most disappointing in the history of Duke basketball and it won't be close. I'm not sure with so many of them wanting to be the alpha dog that they will ever reach their full potential and that's really disappointing. Go Duke!