Louisville Not Winning 8 Games This Season Would Be Bad
- Thread starter will.ksr
- Start date
At first I thought you were talking about the basketball team 
if Brohm doesnt win 8 games this season with the schedule they have......he should be fired on the spot. no excuse.
Honestly, I think 7 wins may be their ceiling for regular season. They’ll likely lose at NC State, Notre Dame, at Pitt, at Miami, and UK. Plus, they have a road test right out of the gate at Georgia Tech, and could lose at home to a surprisingly good Duke team. Would not be surprised to see them go 5-7 in Brohm’s debut season.
Vegas set their over/under win total at 8.5 fyi. The books would be way off if they go 5-7.
The point spread on the UK vs ul game the last 4 years has been way off. ul just gets more credit than they deserve. I don't know why but last year people were talking about them being 2nd best team in acc. I don't know what they see in them.
Right now, UL is the favorite in only 7 games (Ga Tech, Murray St, IU, BC, Duke, Va Tech, and VA.). They're the dog in road games at NC State, Pitt, and Miami, and dogs at home to Notre Dame and UK. Of the games they're favored in, I can see the first game, at Ga Tech, and at home to Duke being upset alerts. I'm guessing Vegas is assuming Brohm will have his offense running on all cylinders right out of the gate. He might, but it is a completely new system and he has a lot of new players to acclimate. They're going to have to pull a couple of road upsets and hold serve at home to hit that 8-9 win mark.
Point spread between two teams facing off has more volatility than a 2.5 win/loss difference, no? Not sure how often Vegas sets win totals and team underperforms that much minus lots of injuries. I'm sure it's happened but off top of my head seems like it would be rare. I dunno.
I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm just pointing out Vegas' view. Also, pretty sure the Ga Tech game is at a neutral site. Maybe it'll still be more Ga Tech fans but I don't know. I figure UofL fans will travel well to the Atlanta Falcons stadium. Definitely a better matchup than the one against Ole Miss a few years ago. I made a killing betting Ole Miss that game.
I think Vegas likes the coaching change, success in the portal, the number of home games, two neutral site games, and only a few "true" road games. Not to mention the ACC was bad last year, and the non-conf against IU seems like a win given they stunk last two years.
My original point: UofL has pretty high expectations and they could all be mad at each other come November if they don't deliver.
UL has the same issue they`ve had the past few seasons, not very good in the trenches. Until they vastly improve that, they`ll struggle. Some of their fans are calling for 10 to 12 wins and almost all, I`ve seen, are saying they`ll "boat run" us. I understand a fan being excited about their team, but some of them are going to be disappointed.
Vegas’s view isn’t that looserville is going to win 8.5 games. Their view is that if they predict 8.5 games then equal money will be bet on over and under.
Probably but I'm specifically talking about the UK ul game. ul gets more benefit of the doubt year in and year out than UK does. Most of that is schedule and the "experts" aren't smart enough to realize that record doesn't tell you how good 2 teams are relative to each other. ul made their name in a weak cusa, and weak big east, and joined the acc while they were around their weakest.
Just saying that ul gets overrated almost as bad nd does.
Well the Cards have always wanted the number 1 ranking in football, it just took them a while to be satisfied with #1 easiest schedule. Let them bask in their newfound glory.
They would give him a pass since he's their boy. I think he would have to have 2 bad seasons back to back for him to feel any heat.
As far as the other teams on that list, there's some awfully "Big Names" trying to pad their hopes to get to a bowl game. Miami, Oregon, USC, Nebraska, Iowa and TCU.
As far as the other teams on that list, there's some awfully "Big Names" trying to pad their hopes to get to a bowl game. Miami, Oregon, USC, Nebraska, Iowa and TCU.
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The GT game will be played within walking distance of the GT campus, basically a home game. But Tech just doesn't have the attendance most P5 schools have. It's a small alumni base and athletics isn't a big deal to many of their students. But the new coach is trying to build interest, trying to rebuild relationships with high schools that were all but destroyed by former staffs. And they are getting some interest and visits from some pretty good instate guys. He played us rough for a half last year. If he can get that kind of effort Louisville Wille have a hard time with them
You can’t believe what you see on Facebook and Twitter lol. You are being targeted with that chart by being a UK fan. The same source will send a chart to all UofL fans that say their strengh of schedule is #8 in the country. They just want you to click on it. Last year I posted two charts here by the same source. One was sent to my Facebook feed. The chart showed UL as dead last strength of schedule in ACC. I had a UL fan send me the same chart by the same people that was sent to his Facebook. That chart had them with the hardest schedule in the ACC. It’s fake news.