Other scores of interest (5/18)

[STUCKNBIG10]

Good night for us (so far):

-Clemson lost to NC State.
-UL losing to FSU by four in the 8th.
-Ga Tech beating UVA by 5 in Atlanta.

Now we need UK to hang on and MSU to come back vs. LSU.

 

[STUCKNBIG10]

UPDATES:

-UL LOST TO FSU 12-9.
-UVA GOT KILLED AT GA TECH.
-UNC LOST AT HOME TO DUKE.
-Clemson lost to NC state
-Tx Tech losing at home to Kansas.

Literally a perfect night for UK if they hang on to an 11-3 lead and MSU can come back and beat LSU.

 

[Comebakatz3]

LSU won but that at least ensures that MSU is out of the SEC championship running. So there is a silver lining as long as they win at least one.

 

[vhcat70]

Another MSU loss assures UK of a top 4 SEC Tourney seed that gives you a first round bye - key for relieving pitching depth. Of course another UK win does so also.

 

[Comebakatz3]

Another MSU loss assures UK of a top 4 SEC Tourney seed that gives you a first round bye - key for relieving pitching depth. Of course another UK win does so also.

Or one more Arkansas loss I believe.

 

[vhcat70]

Or one more Arkansas loss I believe.

Since UK & AR didn't play, don't know who gets the higher seed if they tie. If UK loses both & AR loses one, they tie. What's that tie breaker? Results vs. common SEC opponents?

But, if UK wins both or they go 1-1 while LSU goes 1-1, UK is SEC champ since they beat LSU 2/3. I.e., UK wins that tie break.

 

[STUCKNBIG10]

Since UK & AR didn't play, don't know who gets the higher seed if they tie. If UK loses both & AR loses one, they tie. What's that tie breaker? Results vs. common SEC opponents?

But, if UK wins both or they go 1-1 while LSU goes 1-1, UK is SEC champ since they beat LSU 2/3. I.e., UK wins that tie break.

there would never be a tie between UK and Arky b/c ARky played one fewer game (they had a rainout in Knoxville a few weekends ago). So, the team with better winning percentage would win the title in that instance.

 

[Comebakatz3]

Since UK & AR didn't play, don't know who gets the higher seed if they tie. If UK loses both & AR loses one, they tie. What's that tie breaker? Results vs. common SEC opponents?

But, if UK wins both or they go 1-1 while LSU goes 1-1, UK is SEC champ since they beat LSU 2/3. I.e., UK wins that tie break.

Okay... I think these are the scenarios:

1. For LSU to win the SEC:
a. LSU has to win their two games against Miss. State AND
b. Kentucky and Florida have to split their final two games.

2. For UK to win the SEC:
a. Sweep Florida OR
b. Beat Florida in one of the two remaining AND
c. LSU lose to MSU in one of the two remaining or both.

3. For Florida to win the SEC:
a. Beat UK in both the next two games.

Arkansas is on the outside looking in. The best that they can do, if I am not mistaken, is finish 2nd in the SEC. To do this they need to win their final two games and they need either someone in the UK/UF series to win their final two as well as MSU to win their final two. If these 4 teams split their series then you'd have UK, UF, and LSU tied for the league record of 20-10 (and they'd finish in that order due to tiebreaker) then Arkansas can finish no better than 4th in the conference. However, if you have one team win the next two games of both the UK/UF and MSU/LSU series then you have something like this:

1. UK - 21-9
2. Arkansas - 19-10
3. Miss State - 19-11
4. Florida - 19-11

The script is flipped if UK loses the last two to Florida. Then UK is 4th in the SEC because they lose the tiebreaker to Miss State. Still, we can't do any worse than 4th. The other scenario is this:

1. UK/UF - 21-9
2. LSU - 21-9
3. Arkansas - 19-10
4. UK/UF - 19-11


I think that covers all my bases. lol

 

[vhcat70]

there would never be a tie between UK and Arky b/c ARky played one fewer game (they had a rainout in Knoxville a few weekends ago). So, the team with better winning percentage would win the title in that instance.

Thanks. Didn't catch that.

 

[STUCKNBIG10]

A lot of people keeping saying, "For X to win the SEC, Y has to happen." Keep in mind that UK still wins the SEC (a share) with one more one and one LSU loss. It is true that seeding is still very much in question, but UK is assured of a share of the SEC title with one win and one LSU loss (even if LSU loses a tiebreaker to UK, they would still share the title if we end up with same record).

It would be cool, however, to win the outright title as our only other SEC title was shared with Bama in 2006. For that to happen, UK needs to sweep and hope LSU loses one.