Originally posted by lawpoke87:
Actual RPI somewhere in the 50s once the SE Okla loss is factored in. A close loss at SMU and the AAC finals gets us close. Likely will depend on how other bubble teams do this last week and a half. The Cincy win likely earns them the #3 seed meaning we would face them in the semis. I now view this matchup as a positive since we need a quality win which Cincy provides. Like I said....be competitive in Dallas and then win two with one of those being Cincy and we're at least in the discussion.
How do you factor in the SEOSU loss when DII opponents do not impact the RPI?
TU's only top 50 RPI wins are both against Temple. Along with beating Cincy again, TU needs Temple to keep winning but if that happens the committee likely picks Temple over TU.
Temple can clinch the #3 seed, but it would require Memphis beating Cincy, and Temple beating ECU and UConn. I see that as TU's best chance if they fail to beat SMU. A semi-final matchup vs Temple would probably be an at large elimination game. Of course the committe could look at TU beating the same Top 50 RPI team as an anomaly. At this point I see the AAC as a 3-bid league, (SMU, Cincy, ???)
Cincy is so schizophrenic I could see them losing to Memphis, Temple should beat ECU on the road and UConn at home.
TX