Turnover thread

torque-cat

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Dec 11, 2018
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Phil Steele thread and article was moved to football board, but showed that turnover differentials have a high component of random chance, which then regress to mean the following year. Peace
 

hdhntr1

All-Conference
Sep 5, 2006
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Phil Steele thread and article was moved to football board, but showed that turnover differentials have a high component of random chance, which then regress to mean the following year. Peace
When a team consistently doe not fumble year after year, or conversely force turnovers year after year, it can have a lot to do with coaching. While likely they will revert to their mean that does not mean they will revert to "the" mean
 

torque-cat

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Dec 11, 2018
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When a team consistently doe not fumble year after year, or conversely force turnovers year after year, it can have a lot to do with coaching. While likely they will revert to their mean that does not mean they will revert to "the" mean

That is what I’ve said so we agree. We are probably better than most based on coaching and play calling etc... But the stats suggest the there will be some regression. 67% of college football teams with +10 TO differential in a season got worse the following year.