Why 10-10 should get us a bid

torque-cat

Redshirt
Dec 11, 2018
1,234
0
0
1. No bad losses
2. To get to 10-10 we'll have beaten a bunch of quadrant 1 and 2 teams down the stretch including a number of tourney teams. Probably as many as any .500 conference team in the country.
3. Big Ten projects getting 8-9 bids out of 14 teams which means it would be mathematically highly unlikely that a team with no bad losses OOC, close losses to good teams (UM, OU in OT) and .500 record in conference to be left out. Frankly, a 9-11 team with a good showing in the tourney would get consideration.

The odds of getting to 10 wins is probably about 5-10%, but if we get there, I'd say 80% likelihood of a bid. Based on nothing but my own opinion :) Of course BTT is the wildcard. 10-10 without a BTT win might drop us out.
 

Titanium999

Redshirt
Jan 16, 2014
4,573
0
0
1. No bad losses
2. To get to 10-10 we'll have beaten a bunch of quadrant 1 and 2 teams down the stretch including a number of tourney teams. Probably as many as any .500 conference team in the country.
3. Big Ten projects getting 8-9 bids out of 14 teams which means it would be mathematically highly unlikely that a team with no bad losses OOC, close losses to good teams (UM, OU in OT) and .500 record in conference to be left out. Frankly, a 9-11 team with a good showing in the tourney would get consideration.

The odds of getting to 10 wins is probably about 5-10%, but if we get there, I'd say 80% likelihood of a bid. Based on nothing but my own opinion :) Of course BTT is the wildcard. 10-10 without a BTT win might drop us out.
We can do It!
 

hdhntr1

All-Conference
Sep 5, 2006
37,226
1,074
113
1. No bad losses
2. To get to 10-10 we'll have beaten a bunch of quadrant 1 and 2 teams down the stretch including a number of tourney teams. Probably as many as any .500 conference team in the country.
3. Big Ten projects getting 8-9 bids out of 14 teams which means it would be mathematically highly unlikely that a team with no bad losses OOC, close losses to good teams (UM, OU in OT) and .500 record in conference to be left out. Frankly, a 9-11 team with a good showing in the tourney would get consideration.

The odds of getting to 10 wins is probably about 5-10%, but if we get there, I'd say 80% likelihood of a bid. Based on nothing but my own opinion :) Of course BTT is the wildcard. 10-10 without a BTT win might drop us out.
Just have to go 7-5 the rest of the way. Tough in this conference but at least the second half of our schedule is a little easier