Good lord 116 points tonight in win at home vs Iowa, 21 made 3 pointers, at 66%. let’s hope the law of averages comes in to play Monday and they got all their made 3s out of the way, or RU is in trouble
Wisconsin
- Thread starter MCKnight
- Start date
Predicting 18 made threes against us. We don’t defend the arc, it’s open season.
Lay the points on this one I keep telling my buds.
Like the man said...bloodbath.
Like the man said...bloodbath.
Wow we can't even shoot that percentage on layups wow; lets see what Pikell cooks up for defense on this one
Wisconsin runs a very effective half court offense similar to UConn and Princeton with player and ball movement creating open 3 pointers from the corners and spacing for back door cuts for layups or short jump shots.Excellent coaching and all players are scoring threats.Rutgers only chance is for Bailey and Harper to score at least 50 points and the RAC crowd rattles Wisconsin players so they only score 70-75 points.
The good news is that we won’t see that awful 2-3 zone in this game…
If Martini was half way decent this would be the type of team we could play him against.
If we had more decent perimeter players this is a game we could play Ace at the 5 against.
I see this as a 50-50 game. We have the crowd and I expect JaMike to be a defensive factor in this game. We HAVE to put Wisconsin out of their comfort zone on offense. I am hoping our length really comes through.
If we had more decent perimeter players this is a game we could play Ace at the 5 against.
I see this as a 50-50 game. We have the crowd and I expect JaMike to be a defensive factor in this game. We HAVE to put Wisconsin out of their comfort zone on offense. I am hoping our length really comes through.
I actually liked seeing the zone. But not through the entire game. And we know why Pike felt the need to go to zone.
Opposite for me. Highly confident.
The old RAC magic comes shining through once again...
Dylan and Ace said they're not losing at home this season. I believe them.
Maybe the law of averages will help – – last game Indiana was coming off a 1-20 three point shooting performance versus Winthrop, then the law of averages took over for our game with Indiana. This time, maybe it will flip and Wisconsin will have used up their luck in the prior game.
Everyone said the same prior to psu....it will be difficult for anyone to beat us at RAC...man up
Lol that guy caught lightning in a bottle for 1 game in an otherwise horrible year
So ... rather than start a new thread, let's look at some Wisconsin specific stats:
1) Wisconsin is shooting a RIDICULOUS 85% from the FT line ... I have never, ever heard of a team shooting like that from the FT line. That would have to be an NCAA record, by a wide margin. And its not like they do not take any FT's: They MAKE more FT's than their opponents even attempt (well, helped by 85% made) ... but they take 20% more FT's than their opponents attempt. For perspective, RU attempts 33% more FT's than their opponents do, but only shoots 70.6% from the FT line (still a big improvement for RU vs last season). Still, RU forces its opponents to foul RU more so than even Wisconsin does, and takes more FT's ... and RU COMMITS fewer fouls than does Wisconsin (Wisconsin has committed 10% more fouls than does RU). FYI, Crowl has fouled out 3 times - and their back-up PG McGee has committed a whopping 37 fouls on the year and fouled out 2 times. - similar to Derkack, actually. Their 2nd leading scorer, Blackwell, has committed 40 fouls - which is a lot - but only fouled out 1 time.
2) Wisconsin's 3-point FG is a very solid 35.3% ... BUT ... prior to this past Friday's SINGLE game of 21-31, Wisconsin was shooting 32.5% from 3 - actually LOWER than RU's 3-point shooting FG% (RU is at 33.2%)! One difference: Wisconsin attempts31% more 3-point FG's than does RU - at 27 3-point FG's per game, 46% of their overall shot attempts. Wisconsin MAKES 2.4 MORE 3's per game than their opponents make. RU? Just 21 3-pointers attempted per game, making 6.9 per game - vs RU's opponents making 8.4 3's per game, 1.5/game MORE than RU (at a 35% clip). Klesmit and Crowl are the only 2 Wisconsin player who have taken more than 1 3-pointer per game who shoot under 30%, unfortunately (Klesmit at 29% and Crowl at 23%). McGee shoots 55% (on 29 3-point tries)
3) Not a stat, but to a comment by Greene, I think (if not him, sorry): I believe Greene indicated he hoped RU could use its length to its advantage. I fear that is not the path. Wisconsin has great length, unfortunately. They start 2 7 footers (both of whom shoot 3's, though Winter more so than Crowl - Winter takes 2.4 3's per game, making 35% of them), Tonje is 6'5", Blackwell is 6'4", Klesmit is 6'4" ... not really long other than the 2 7 footers, but not short either. And their bench, though McGee at 6'0" is their reserve with the most minutes, other reserves who play are 6'7", 6'7", 6'9" and 6'5" ... just 1 player shorter than 6'4" plays of the 9 primary players.
4) RU and Wisconsin shoot the same overall FG%: 46% ... for whatever that is worth.
5) Wisconsin does not turn the ball over a lot. BUT ... Tonje and Blackwell do so a fair bit - so pressuring them may be fruitful ... but somehow Tonje draws a TON of fouls and gets a TON of FT's (and shoots at 93%) - so care is needed to avoid fouling him too much.
6) Match-ups ... just a guess ... Assuming Harper is healthy, I would guess Klesmit gets the initial assignment ... and either Crowl or Winter on Bailey. If a big guy, Bailey needs to start outside and drive - he ought to be able to get by either. If instead Bailey is covered by Tonje or Blackwell, back them down from mid-range and elevate and shoot over them. Whoever Blackwell covers (Davis or Williams, I presume) must relentlessly drive (not to shoot at the rim so much, but to set up the perimeter players Bailey and Harper - and to draw fouls on Blackwell ... or to run a screen and go with Bailey or Harper to get Blackwell forced to cover one of those. I'd guess Williams and Davis cover Tonje and Blackwell - though it is possible Davis covers Klesmit - who though not as strong an offensive player as Blackwell or Tonje IS effectively Wisconsin's starting PG - so disrupting im may be valuable and something Davis can do relatively effeectively. So ... I guess, after challenging myself within this post even, if I had to bet, I would have Williams on Tonje, Harper on Blackwell and Davis on Klesmit? And when NcGee comes in, Davis on him.
1) Wisconsin is shooting a RIDICULOUS 85% from the FT line ... I have never, ever heard of a team shooting like that from the FT line. That would have to be an NCAA record, by a wide margin. And its not like they do not take any FT's: They MAKE more FT's than their opponents even attempt (well, helped by 85% made) ... but they take 20% more FT's than their opponents attempt. For perspective, RU attempts 33% more FT's than their opponents do, but only shoots 70.6% from the FT line (still a big improvement for RU vs last season). Still, RU forces its opponents to foul RU more so than even Wisconsin does, and takes more FT's ... and RU COMMITS fewer fouls than does Wisconsin (Wisconsin has committed 10% more fouls than does RU). FYI, Crowl has fouled out 3 times - and their back-up PG McGee has committed a whopping 37 fouls on the year and fouled out 2 times. - similar to Derkack, actually. Their 2nd leading scorer, Blackwell, has committed 40 fouls - which is a lot - but only fouled out 1 time.
2) Wisconsin's 3-point FG is a very solid 35.3% ... BUT ... prior to this past Friday's SINGLE game of 21-31, Wisconsin was shooting 32.5% from 3 - actually LOWER than RU's 3-point shooting FG% (RU is at 33.2%)! One difference: Wisconsin attempts31% more 3-point FG's than does RU - at 27 3-point FG's per game, 46% of their overall shot attempts. Wisconsin MAKES 2.4 MORE 3's per game than their opponents make. RU? Just 21 3-pointers attempted per game, making 6.9 per game - vs RU's opponents making 8.4 3's per game, 1.5/game MORE than RU (at a 35% clip). Klesmit and Crowl are the only 2 Wisconsin player who have taken more than 1 3-pointer per game who shoot under 30%, unfortunately (Klesmit at 29% and Crowl at 23%). McGee shoots 55% (on 29 3-point tries)
3) Not a stat, but to a comment by Greene, I think (if not him, sorry): I believe Greene indicated he hoped RU could use its length to its advantage. I fear that is not the path. Wisconsin has great length, unfortunately. They start 2 7 footers (both of whom shoot 3's, though Winter more so than Crowl - Winter takes 2.4 3's per game, making 35% of them), Tonje is 6'5", Blackwell is 6'4", Klesmit is 6'4" ... not really long other than the 2 7 footers, but not short either. And their bench, though McGee at 6'0" is their reserve with the most minutes, other reserves who play are 6'7", 6'7", 6'9" and 6'5" ... just 1 player shorter than 6'4" plays of the 9 primary players.
4) RU and Wisconsin shoot the same overall FG%: 46% ... for whatever that is worth.
5) Wisconsin does not turn the ball over a lot. BUT ... Tonje and Blackwell do so a fair bit - so pressuring them may be fruitful ... but somehow Tonje draws a TON of fouls and gets a TON of FT's (and shoots at 93%) - so care is needed to avoid fouling him too much.
6) Match-ups ... just a guess ... Assuming Harper is healthy, I would guess Klesmit gets the initial assignment ... and either Crowl or Winter on Bailey. If a big guy, Bailey needs to start outside and drive - he ought to be able to get by either. If instead Bailey is covered by Tonje or Blackwell, back them down from mid-range and elevate and shoot over them. Whoever Blackwell covers (Davis or Williams, I presume) must relentlessly drive (not to shoot at the rim so much, but to set up the perimeter players Bailey and Harper - and to draw fouls on Blackwell ... or to run a screen and go with Bailey or Harper to get Blackwell forced to cover one of those. I'd guess Williams and Davis cover Tonje and Blackwell - though it is possible Davis covers Klesmit - who though not as strong an offensive player as Blackwell or Tonje IS effectively Wisconsin's starting PG - so disrupting im may be valuable and something Davis can do relatively effeectively. So ... I guess, after challenging myself within this post even, if I had to bet, I would have Williams on Tonje, Harper on Blackwell and Davis on Klesmit? And when NcGee comes in, Davis on him.
We badly need someone to make some threes and that has been the biggest letdown from preseason expectations. The shots that guys like PJ and Martini get when they are in the game are not that bad in my opinion. Some of them are wide open. But they haven’t been going down. We need to keep the opposing defense honest to open up the lane more.
Ever since Kennesaw State, PJ has been 5 of 21 in the last nine games (23.8%). Martini has been 2 of 10 (20%). At least Acuff has been 8 of 21 (38.1%).
Unless PJ or Martini can get hot, play Acuff more. The guy can at least be a legitimate scoring threat.
Ever since Kennesaw State, PJ has been 5 of 21 in the last nine games (23.8%). Martini has been 2 of 10 (20%). At least Acuff has been 8 of 21 (38.1%).
Unless PJ or Martini can get hot, play Acuff more. The guy can at least be a legitimate scoring threat.
Hey guys, in for a visit in peace.
There’s an obvious overconfidence that has to be expected and planned for from having a school-record and B10-record offensive performance on Friday. That is impossible to replicate, but hoping the regression is no worse than the mean.
With the starters, there’s a sharing of the PG duties. I would say Blackwell was the primary ball handler against Iowa. Klesmit is a more natural 2, but can and does play a bit of 1. When McGee is in, he’s the PG. He’s the emotional leader on this team - he’s not the most talented player, but he gets a lot out of it.
While UW starts Winter and Crowl, they don’t play together for that much of the game. Winter is playing very well, both at the 4 and the 5.
The FT shooting is not a fluke. We have a contest going on with Great Osobor of Washington - who will miss more free throws, Wisconsin as a team or Osobor? Right now, Wisconsin has missed a total of 46, while Osobor has missed 44.
If there’s a glaring weakness, it’s defense. Both our fan bases are used to being way better on that end of the floor. We do not have “rim protectors” and that seems to have led to drivers driving a lot.
There’s an obvious overconfidence that has to be expected and planned for from having a school-record and B10-record offensive performance on Friday. That is impossible to replicate, but hoping the regression is no worse than the mean.
With the starters, there’s a sharing of the PG duties. I would say Blackwell was the primary ball handler against Iowa. Klesmit is a more natural 2, but can and does play a bit of 1. When McGee is in, he’s the PG. He’s the emotional leader on this team - he’s not the most talented player, but he gets a lot out of it.
While UW starts Winter and Crowl, they don’t play together for that much of the game. Winter is playing very well, both at the 4 and the 5.
The FT shooting is not a fluke. We have a contest going on with Great Osobor of Washington - who will miss more free throws, Wisconsin as a team or Osobor? Right now, Wisconsin has missed a total of 46, while Osobor has missed 44.
If there’s a glaring weakness, it’s defense. Both our fan bases are used to being way better on that end of the floor. We do not have “rim protectors” and that seems to have led to drivers driving a lot.
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