Thanks both of you, Friedas and Village. Good points. Finding trends in a combination of models can certainly be powerful. I think even moreso if each model is created by different people, with their own unique intuition for massaging the inputs.
And what I took out of your analysis, Village, is that UCONN is lucky as ****! But that luck comes from having elite playmakers like Kemba and <gag> Shabazz Napier. Also noticed Melo carried a "subpar" team to the title. Lastly, was surprised Baylor came so low on defense -- I never thought of that team as an offensive juggernaut, I remember their D just stifling Gonzaga, barely letting them dribble the ball or get off a pass in the title game. And that was a team with Jalen Suggs and Nembhard! Good stuff.
Would be interesting to see what UK came in at during these years -- were we "Village-certified" title contenders?
Now, that KenPom efficiency requirement for champions is well known by the way and I’m by a long shot not the first that heard of it. Naturally, I take no credit in the slightest for it but it is an interesting topic. Here are all the Kentucky teams in the KenPom era:
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2002
Offensive Efficiency - 29
Defensive Efficiency - 9
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2003
Offensive Efficiency - 5
Defensive Efficiency - 4
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2004
Offensive Efficiency - 26
Defensive Efficiency - 7
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2005
Offensive Efficiency - 29
Defensive Efficiency - 3
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2006
Offensive Efficiency - 19
Defensive Efficiency - 75
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2007
Offensive Efficiency - 15
Defensive Efficiency - 34
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2008
Offensive Efficiency - 104
Defensive Efficiency - 67
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2009
Offensive Efficiency - 91
Defensive Efficiency - 27
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2010
Offensive Efficiency - 22
Defensive Efficiency - 6
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2011
Offensive Efficiency - 8
Defensive Efficiency - 16
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2012
Offensive Efficiency - 2
Defensive Efficiency - 7
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2013
Offensive Efficiency - 38
Defensive Efficiency - 88
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2014
Offensive Efficiency - 14
Defensive Efficiency - 32
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2015
Offensive Efficiency - 6
Defensive Efficiency - 1
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2016
Offensive Efficiency - 5
Defensive Efficiency - 39
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2017
Offensive Efficiency - 12
Defensive Efficiency - 7
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2018
Offensive Efficiency - 24
Defensive Efficiency - 22
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2019
Offensive Efficiency - 14
Defensive Efficiency - 8
Meets Criteria for Contender - Yes
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2020
Offensive Efficiency - 24
Defensive Efficiency - 52
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2021
Offensive Efficiency - 84
Defensive Efficiency - 35
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2022
Offensive Efficiency - 5
Defensive Efficiency - 36
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2023
Offensive Efficiency - 17
Defensive Efficiency - 68
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2024
Offensive Efficiency - 7
Defensive Efficiency - 109
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2025
Offensive Efficiency - 10
Defensive Efficiency - 51
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
Kentucky Wildcats Season - 2026
Offensive Efficiency - 35
Defensive Efficiency - 17
Meets Criteria for Contender - No
In short, only the following teams met KenPom’s requirements for championship:
2003
2010
2011
2012
2015
2017
2018
2019