2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Odds: Updated betting lines following Talladega

The NASCAR Cup Series is heading to Martinsville Speedway this weekend with only two races remaining in the season. The Round of 8 will come to a close, after Denny Hamlin was victorious at Las Vegas, and Chase Briscoe took the checkered flag at Talladega.

The two Joe Gibbs Racing wheelmen are headed to the Championship 4, and now the question remains of who will join them in Phoenix. Currently, Christopher Bell and Kyle Larson are above the cut-line, but it’s all but certain that at least one playoff driver will win their way in when the Cup Series heads to Virginia.

With that in mind, BetMGM Sportsbook has unveiled its updated championship odds heading into the final stretch. Here’s how the title picture looks as NASCAR’s best prepare for the final race of the Round of 8 in Martinsville.

Christopher Bell (+250)

Christopher Bell notched a top ten at Talladega. He’s 37 points above the cut-line and in prime position to join his Joe Gibbs Racing teammates in the Championship 4, but it won’t come easy.

Earlier this season, Bell finished second to Hamlin at Martinsville, but he’s won there in the past. The No. 20 Toyota wheelman won his way into the Championship 4 back in 2022.

Denny Hamlin (+275)

Denny Hamlin went into Talladega knowing he was already heading to Phoenix as part of the Championship 4. That certainly factored into the way he raced, as the veteran wheelman finished P24 in Alabama.

No, Hamlin doesn’t need the win, but Martinsville is one of his best tracks. Getting back to Victory Lane in Virginia could give him some much needed momentum heading into Phoenix, as he won in Virginia earlier this spring.

Kyle Larson (+300)

Kyle Larson showed off some improved super speedway racing skills at Talladega. He fought near the front throughout the afternoon, but the Hendrick Motorsports star ran out of gas in the closing laps, finishing in P26.

Now, the question will become whether or not Larson can get back to the Championship 4 and try to re-establish his dominance. Martinsville is a track that usually comes easy to him, but the competition will be stiff this weekend.

Chase Briscoe (+375)

What a first season for Chase Briscoe at Joe Gibbs Racing. He’s proving himself on all different types of tracks, as the No. 19 Toyota wheelman will race for the championship after notching a win on a super-speedway at Talladega.

He’ll be happy his spot is locked in for Phoenix, as Martinsville hasn’t always been kind to Briscoe. His best finish was fourth in 2023, but he’s never won at the Virginia-based short-track.

Ryan Blaney (+900)

Ryan Blaney is usually one of the top contenders when the Cup Series heads to Talladega. He had a fast ride, but the No. 12 Ford wheelman found himself in P23 when the checkered flag waved. 

Now, Blaney is entering a must-win scenario at Martinsville. He’s been victorious at the track in the playoffs each of the past two seasons, but can he do it again? BetMGM has them as their favorite to get the job done.

Chase Elliott (+1800)

Chase Elliott got caught up in some bad luck at Talladega. The usually consistent wheelman came home P40 after being involved in a a wreck, and now he finds himself 62 points below the cut-line. He’ll have to win his way into the Championship 4.

It’s not a foreign concept for Elliott. That’s how he won his first title back in 2020. However, that remains his lone win at the track, so we’ll see if he can get back to Victory Lane this time around.

Joey Logano (+2000)

Joey Logano’s best two chances at getting back to the Championship 4 have came and went, as he finished P16 at Talladega after a bit of a disappointing run in Las Vegas. Now, everything will be on the line in Martinsville.

Logano could certainly shock the world and get to Victory Lane on Sunday. He hasn’t won in Martinsville since 2018, but he’s had a myriad of top ten and top five finishes since then.

William Byron (+2200)

William Byron was hoping to get Chevrolet a win and return to the Championship 4 at Talladega. He had the speed, but he was overpowered by Toyotas in the closing laps. As fate would have it, he came home P25.

Now, Byron will likely have to win his way into the Championship 4, as it’s not likely he can point his way to Phoenix. He’s won here twice, but never in the fall. He’ll have to break that trend in 2025.

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