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JMU vs. Duke odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

Matt Connollyby:Matt Connolly03/23/24

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jon-scheyer-proud-of-first-season-as-duke-blue-devils-head-basketball-coach
Duke head coach Jon Scheyer (Goldberg/NCAA Photos via Getty Images)

James Madison and Duke will face off in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday in what should be an exciting and close game. The Dukes advanced to face Duke by upsetting Wisconsin Friday night, while the Blue Devils pulled away against Vermont to move on to the Round of 32.

James Madison will be confident entering the matchup as the Dukes are 32-3 on the year, with wins over Michigan State and Wisconsin.

Duke has had an up-and-down season and had lost back-to-back games entering the NCAA Tournament. However, the Blue Devils were impressive against Vermont. Here’s what you need to know about the matchup:

Odds for Duke vs. James Madison

The line for the Duke vs. James Madison game is out. FanDuel has the Blue Devils as a 7.5-point favorite entering the matchup. The over-under for the game is at 148.5.

As for the money line, Duke is a -310 favorite. James Madison currently pays out at +245 on the money line.

Final score predictions for Duke vs. James Madison

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 9.7
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 81.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 81.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Like Vegas, BPI has Duke coming out on top. Leading into the contest, BPI is projecting the Blue Devils to win by nearly 10 points. It also gives Duke an 81.3% chance to win.

BPI has the game coming in with a matchup quality score of 81.8, which is middle of the pack as far as games on Sunday. It is the fourth-highest matchup quality of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 79, James Madison 71
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 77 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

For this game between the Dukes and Blue Devils, KenPom agrees with Vegas, almost exactly. KenPom expects a fairly close battle, with Duke coming out on top by eight points.

How to watch James Madison vs. Duke

Time: Sunday, March 24, 5:15 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Brooklyn, NY

James Madison and Duke are set to face off at 5:15 p.m. on Sunday. The game will be televised by CBS. This should be a fun and high-scoring matchup.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The game will take place at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. The winner of Sunday’s game will advance to face the winner of Houston and Texas A&M in the Sweet 16.