Florida State vs. Florida odds: Opening point spread released, how to watch tonight's college basketball clash

To start the second week of the college basketball season, we’re set to see a power conference matchup in the Sunshine State. That’s as Florida State (2-0) will travel to play No. 10 Florida (1-1) on Tuesday night.

Florida, the defending national champions, lost their first game of the season in a six-point, neutral-site defeat to Arizona in Las Vegas. They returned home to end last week, though, and bounced back with a 40-point blowout of North Florida. So far in those pair of games, the Gators are being led by their loaded frontcourt in Thomas Haugh, Alex Condon, and Micah Handlogten, as their backcourt tries to get going a bit more with Xaivian Lee and Boogie Fland.

FSU is then two games into their tenure under Luke Loucks. It’s been a high-scoring start, albeit against much lesser competition, as the Seminoles are averaging 104.5 points, tied for 13th-most in the NCAA, through their start at 2-0. Eight players are averaging better than 7.5 points per game, six of those being transfers and two being freshmen, as the team is posting shooting better than 50% from the field and 40% from three.

Here is the preview of tonight’s in-state matchup, being the second of three straight for Florida, and as Loucks coaches in his first big-time collegiate game with FSU:

Odds for Florida State vs. Florida

The odds for the game have since been released over at BetMGM. The Gators have opened as a significant favorite of 17.5 points (-115), with that having the Seminoles at (+1000) on the moneyline as the road underdog.

The over-under is then set at a total of 178.5. The over is slightly favored at (-105), with it certainly being in play with both of Florida and Florida State averaging between 95 and 105 points per game.

Final score predictions for Florida State vs. Florida

BPI Predicted Winner: Florida
BPI Predicted Point Differential: 16
BPI Win Probability (for Florida): 92.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 76.1

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) is also projecting a massive win for Florida. It has the Gators predicted to win by 16 points, at a probability of 92.8%.

BPI’s Matchup Quality then has Florida State vs. Florida rated as the sixth-best game of the college ‘hoops slate on Tuesday night. It’s behind five other highly-ranked, power-level matchups, namely another one between an SEC and an ACC opponent of No. 9 Kentucky vs. No. 12 Louisville.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Florida 92, Florida State 75
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 93%

KenPom projected this matchup similarly, with a predicted final score with a 17-point margin in favor of the team that is currently rated at sixth in the nation by their metrics in the Gators. It also set a similar win probability of 93%.

How to Watch Florida State vs. Florida

Time: 7 p.m. EST
Channel: SEC Network
Location: Stephen C. O’Connell Center (Gainesville, Florida)

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