Gonzaga vs. Kentucky odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Bulldogs, Wildcats

No. 17 Kentucky and Gonzaga are taking a short break from their conference schedules to meet in Lexington for a battle between two of college basketball’s biggest brands inside Rupp Arena.

Both teams are coming off impressive wins, which includes a 109-77 win over Vanderbilt for UK on Tuesday and a 96-64 win over Portland for the Bulldogs. Both teams scored 15 three-pointers during their respective wins, and this being a high-scoring affair is almost academic based on their resumes.

This game will serve as the second of a six-year series between Kentucky and Gonzaga. The Bulldogs bested the Wildcats in Spokane 88-72 in last year’s first-ever meeting.

Odds for Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

Coming into the game, Kentucky is a 5.5-point favorite over Gonzaga, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Wildcats are currently listed at -225 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Bulldogs are sitting at +190

The point total for the game is set at 169.5 points. Kentucky comes into the game averaging 89.7 points per game, tops in the SEC and tied for first in the country with Arizona. Meanwhile, Gonzaga ranked 12th nationally with 84.7 heading into Saturday.

Final score predictions for Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

BPI Predicted winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted point differential: 7.3
BPI Win probability (for Kentucky): 61.9 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 7.3 points in Kentucky’s favor. It also gives the Wildcats a 61.9 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 83.3, which ranks No. 12 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kentucky 85, Gonzaga 82
KenPom Win probability (for Kentucky): 60 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Kentucky and Gonzaga, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Bulldogs to lose by roughly 3-8 points.

How to watch Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

Time: 4 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Rupp Arena — Lexington, Kentucky

The opening tip between the Bulldogs and Wildcats is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET and will air live on CBS. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.