Kansas State vs. Kansas odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Wildcats, Jayhawks

The highly anticipated Big 12 in-state rematch between Kansas State and Kansas tips off on Wednesday night in a nationally televised marquee matchup.

The No. 14 ranked Jayhawks will be looking to bounce back from two-straight losses for the first time this season. While the Wildcats will look to go 2-0 versus Kansas this season following their 75-70 overtime win at home versus the Jayhawks exactly one month ago to the day.

Wednesday’s game already has all the making of an instant classic as the regular season nears its end. Here’s everything you need to know from the betting odds to how to watch the primetime Big 12 showdown.

Odds for Kansas State vs. Kansas

The Jayhawks are 10.5-point home favorites versus Kansas State on Tuesday according to FanDuel Sportsbook despite Kansas falling on the road in their last matchup. With Kansas also posting -690 odds on the moneyline with Kansas State at +480 if they win the rivalry game outright yet again.

The point total for the game also sits at an over-under of 142.5, as Kansas State notably scoring over 70 points in each of their last three games and Kansas doing so in two of their last three matchups.

Final score predictions for Kansas State vs. Kansas

BPI Predicted winner: Kansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 10.1
BPI Win probability (for Kansas): 82.7 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 78.1

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) aligns with FanDuel ahead of Tuesday’s game. Predicting a 10.1-point differential in favor of the Jayhawks while also giving them a solid 82.7% chance of winning their home floor for their rematch against the Wildcats.

The BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, also giving the Big 12 showdown a matchup quality score of 78.1. Which makes the game between Kansas and Kansas State one of the best on the college basketball schedule for Tuesday, ranked the seventh best matchup of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kansas 74, Kansas State 64
KenPom Win probability (for Kansas): 80 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball, designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

KenPom aligns nearly identically with FanDuel and ESPN’s BPI in regards to Kansas hosting Kansas State. Also predicting that the Jayhawks will beat Kansas State by 10 points while also giving them an 80% chance of winning the rematch versus their in-state rival.

How to watch Kansas State vs. Kansas

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Lawrence (KS)

The Sunflower Showdown has truly heated up in recent history between the state’s two premier basketball programs. With the series going back and forth between both teams in the last four matchups as the home team has won each game.

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Two of the last three Kansas-Kansas State games have gone into overtime, including their last matchup. As Allen Fieldhouse will likely be rocking and the college basketball fans will be tuned in to one of the most exciting Big 12 matchups of the regular season.