LSU vs. South Carolina odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Gamecocks

No. 11 South Carolina will look to prove that Wednesday’s 40-point loss to Auburn was a blip on the radar when they host the LSU Tigers on Saturday.

The Gamecocks are tied for second place in the current SEC standings, sitting 0.5 games back from No. 15 Alabama in the top spot. LSU, who is 1-6 on the road this season, are ranking toward the bottom of the conference through mid-February.

Saturday is the first and only time these two teams will play during the regular season.

Odds for South Carolina vs. LSU

Coming into the game, South Carolina is a 6.5-point favorite over LSU, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Gamecocks are currently listed at -280 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Tigers are sitting at +230.

The point total for the game is set at 144.5 points. South Carolina comes into the game averaging 72.1 points per game. Meanwhile, LSU averages 77.8 points. Despite this, the Gamecocks are universally favored.

Final score predictions for South Carolina vs. LSU

BPI Predicted winner: South Carolina
BPI Predicted point differential: 6.0
BPI Win probability (for South Carolina): 72.1 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 75.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 6.0 points in South Carolina’s favor. It also gives the Gamecocks a 72.1 percent chance to win the game over the Tigers on the road.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 75.7, which ranks No. 24 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: South Carolina 74, LSU 68
KenPom Win probability (for South Carolina): 71 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between South Carolina and LSU, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Tigers to lose by roughly 6-8 points.

How to watch South Carolina vs. LSU

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Colonial Life Arena — Columbia, South Carolina

The opening tip between the Gamecocks and Tigers is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and will air live on SECN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.