Purdue vs. Illinois odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Boilermakers, Illini

The Purdue Boilermakers are on the road Tuesday night for a key road game against the Illinois Fighting Illini. It’s a rematch of a game the two played at the start of January when the Boilermakers came away with a five-point home win.

Both teams only have two games left in the regular season and Purdue has a two-game lead over Illinois for the Big Ten regular season championship. With a win, the Boilermakers could clinch. On top of that, both teams are coming into the game as the winners of three in a row, looking to get into the best possible position for March.

So, ahead of that game, here is a look at the current odds, win probability, and final score predictions for the Purdue game against Illinois.

Odds for Purdue vs. Illinois

Coming into this game, Illinois is a 1.5-point favorite over Purdue, according to FanDuel. The Illini are also currently listed at -126 for the moneyline, while the Boilermakers are at +105.

The point total for this game is set at 162.5 points. In their previous meeting, these two teams scored a total of 161 points, just shy of the total set for this game. However, in Illinois’ last five games, more than 162.5 points have been scored.

Final score predictions for Purdue vs. Illinois

BPI Predicted winner: Purdue
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.3
BPI Win probability (for Purdue): 54.9 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 98.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model that is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. However, in this case, BPI disagrees with Vegas, making Purdue a slight favorite to win the game. BPI is also giving the Boilermakers a 54.9 percent chance to win the game.

BPI is giving this game a matchup quality score of 98.3, which is the highest quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Purdue 85, Illinois 84
KenPom Win probability (for Purdue): 53 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball that is designed to show how strong a team is at a given time in the season. It doesn’t take outside factors, like injuries, into account. For this game, KenPom agrees with BPI, giving the Boilermakers a slight edge to win. Notably, it also predicts that 169 total points will be scored, more than the Vegas point total.

How to watch Purdue vs. Illinois

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: Peacock, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Champaign, Illinois

Purdue and Illinois are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It’s a home game for the Illini, with the game being played in the State Farm Center in Champaign.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans

This game isn’t currently scheduled to be on a traditional platform, instead, it will be streamed through Peacock. It will also be available for fans looking to stream the game on FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.