St. Peter's vs. Tennessee odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

2-seed Tennessee will look to get off to a hot start to begin the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, matching up against 15-seed St. Peter’s.

The Peacocks were the Cinderella of the 2022, defeating Kentucky and Purdue to advance to the Sweet 16. This time around, the Vols plan to end St. Peter’s stay in the Big Dance unceremoniously as Tennessee looks to win its way into what they hope will be the first Final Four berth in program history by the end of the tournament.

The winner between St. Peter’s and Tennessee will face either Texas or Colorado State in the second round on Saturday.

Odds for St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee

Coming into the game, Tennessee is a 21.5-point favorite over St. Peter’s, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Vols are currently listed at -7000 for the money line as of Wednesday evening, while the Peacocks are sitting at +2000.

The point total for the game is set at 139.5 points.

Final score predictions for St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 24.3
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 98.0 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 60.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 24.3 points in Tennessee’s favor. It also gives the Vols a 98 percent chance to win the game over the Peacocks.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 60.3, which ranks No. 15 in quality scores predicted for the day out of 16.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 74, St. Peter’s 55
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 95 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Thursday’s game between Tennessee and St. Peter’s, KenPom agrees with Vegas’ and BPI’s decision to have the Vols blow past the Peacocks in their first-round matchup.

How to watch St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee

Time: 9:20 p.m. ET
Channel: TNT, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Spectrum Center — Charlotte, NC

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The opening tip between the Vols and Peacocks is scheduled for 9:20 p.m. ET and will air live on TNT from the Spectrum Center. It is also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video.