Tennessee vs. South Carolina odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Vols, Gamecocks
The two teams sitting at the very top of the SEC standings will face off on Wednesday night, as No. 6 Tennessee hits the road to take on No.17 South Carolina in a marquee SEC matchup.
The Gamecocks pulled off the road upset against the Vols in January after entering the game as 13.5-point underdogs in their last matchup. Now both teams now boast over 20 wins, with Tennessee ranking No. 1 in the SEC with a 13-3 record in conference play and South Carolina ranking right behind them at 12-4.
There’s no doubt that the stakes are high for Wednesday’s game, but will the Volunteers be underdogs yet again? Find that out and everything else you need to know about tonight’s SEC showdown below.
Odds for Tennessee vs. South Carolina
Tennessee is a 5.5-point favorite on the road versus South Carolina on Wednesday night according to FanDuel Sportsbook. With the Volunteers sitting at -245 odds on the moneyline with the Gamecocks at +198 despite the game being played on their home floor.
The point total for the game also sits at an over-under of 139.5, with FanFuel expecting a low-scoring matchup between the two top defenses in the SEC this season. With South Carolina holding teams to 65.6 points per game and Tennessee 67.4.
Final score predictions for Tennessee vs. South Carolina
BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.1
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 78.5 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 82.5
ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) slightly favors in Tennessee a little bit more compared to FanDuel’s prediction for Wednesday’s SEC showdown. Predicting a steep 8.1-point differential in favor of the Volunteers while also giving South Carolina just a 21.5% chance of protecting their home court.
The BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, and while it does favor the Vols, it also gave the game a high matchup quality score of 82.5. Marking South Carolina and Tennessee’s game as the seventh best matchup on college basketball’s Wednesday slate of games.
KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 72, South Carolina 67
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 67 percent
KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball, designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.
Like FanDuel, KenPom also forecasts a five-point margin of victory for Tennessee on Wednesday. But unlike ESPN’s BPI, KenPom does not give the Volunteers as strong of a chance of winning at 67%, predicting a more closely contested matchup between the two top teams in the SEC.
How to watch Tennessee vs. South Carolina
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Columbia (SC)
In their previous matchup this season on January 30, South Carolina pulled off the upset win in Knoxville. Defeating Tennessee 63-59 to earn their first appearance in the Top 25 Rankings the following week.
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Since then the Gamecocks have proved they were more than just a team getting off to a hart start, boasting a 12-4 record in conference play. Meanwhile Tennessee has only lost one game since being stunned by South Carolina, winning their last six games as they’ll look to get revenge on Wednesday night.