Tennessee vs. Texas A&M odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Vols, Aggies

No. 6 Tennessee travels to College Station for a Saturday night SEC showdown between the Volunteers and the Texas A&M Aggies.

There is little margin of error for the Vols in this matchup. At 7-2 in conference play heading into Saturday, they sit 0.5 games back from the top spot in the SEC standings. For Texas A&M, a victory will push the Aggies closer to securing one of the top four seeds in next month’s SEC Tournament.

Saturday’s matchup is the first of two games between the Vols and Aggies within a two week span. They’ll face off in Knoxville on Feb. 24.

Odds for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M

Coming into the game, Tennessee is a 1.5-point favorite over Texas A&M, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Vols are currently listed at -125 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Aggies are sitting at +105.

The point total for the game is set at 142.5 points. Tennessee comes into the game averaging 80.0 points per game. Meanwhile, Texas A&M averages 73.7 points.

Final score predictions for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.3
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 59.2 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.3 points in Tennessee’s favor. It also gives the Vols a 81.1 percent chance to win the game over the Aggies on the road.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 94.4, which ranks No. 1 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 73, Texas A&M 69
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 65 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Tennessee and Texas A&M, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ consensus, projecting the Aggies to lose by roughly 2-5 points.

How to watch Tennessee vs. Texas A&M

Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Reed Arena — College Station, Texas

The opening tip between the Vols and Aggies is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET and will air live on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.