Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Aggies, Commodores
Texas A&M, which is around the middle of the pack in the SEC, will go to Music City tonight to play Vanderbilt, the second to last placed team in the conference. The Aggies are on their best stretch of league play, including coming off one of their season’s best win. Meanwhile, the Commodores have dropped two more after securing their first win since the turn of the year.
With that said, A&M will have to give Vandy their due respect in order to avoid overlooking them and risk an upset in Nashville on Tuesday.
Here’s the full breakdown and predictions for how Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt is being viewed ahead of tonight’s game inside Memorial Gymnasium.
Odds for Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt
Texas A&M is an 8.5-point favorite over the Commodores this evening per FanDuel. That’s enough to make them a -430 favorite on the road while Vanderbilt is at +330 on the moneyline. As for the over/under, the total is is currently at 135.5 points.
There may not be much value on the moneyline alone unless you have the Commodores winning their second game in the Southeastern Conference. That would lean more towards action on the near double-digit spread or the total.
Final score prediction for Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt
BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 11.9
BPI Win probability (for Texas A&M): 87.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 61.5
ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) is going the way of the Aggies. Their prediction is for them to win and for them to win by nearly a dozen. The index is confident in that outcome too with a likelihood percentage of almost 90%.
As for matchup quality, the game between A&M and Vandy is No. 17 on the slate tonight, which is third of three matchups in the conference.
KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 73, Vanderbilt 63
KenPom Win probability (for Texas A&M): 82%
KenPom is also pointing towards Texas A&M as far as the victor. The rating has the Aggies taking it by double digits as well. However, it is slightly less confident based on percentage at 82%.
How to watch Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt
Time: 7 p.m. EST
Channel: ESPNU, ESPN+ or FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Memorial Gymnasium (Nashville, Tennessee)
Texas A&M is on their best stretch since the season’s start by having won five of six and six of eight overall. While it features two wins over Missouri, which sits in last in the league, that run includes a makeup win at LSU, a comeback victory over Florida, and two wins over the No. 6 team in the nation at the time. One came over Kentucky and the most recent outing came over Tennessee.
The victory over the Volunteers ended up being a rout in College Station. They led by as much as 22 and took it by 16 in the end. Tyrece Radford (27 points) and Wade Taylor IV (25 points) led that effort. The Aggies’ backcourt duo combined to shoot 48.6%, including hitting seven of the team’s 11 threes, while also dishing a dozen of the team’s 14 total assists.
Now, with that win, Texas A&M is moving up in the postseason picture as a No. 7 seed in the latest Bracketology.
As for Vanderbilt, it has been a long campaign with a 6-17 record overall, including a 1-9 mark in the SEC. The one win came at home against Mizzou to push them to 1.5 games from last place in the league. However, they themselves are still two games back of 12th place.
Following that win over the Tigers, the Commodores have lost two more to ranked teams in Kentucky and at South Carolina. The Wildcats came in and scored 109 points, their second-most of the season, in a 32-point win. The Gamecocks then shot 51.7%, including 82.4% by Collin Murray-Boyles for a season-high of 31 for the freshman, as they pulled away and won by 15 in Columbia.
With that said, that doesn’t mean that Vanderbilt couldn’t play spoiler against the Aggies tonight.
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Texas A&M will want to keep their run going by handling their business in Nashville today. That leaves it up to Vanderbilt to surprise and win as an almost double-digit underdog on their home floor.