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UNC vs. Kansas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On3 imageby:Sam Gillenwater•11/08/24•

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North Carolina G RJ Davis, Kansas C Hunter Dickinson
Bob Donnan & Jay Biggerstaff | Imagn Images

No. 1 Kansas and No. 9 North Carolina will tip off towards the end of the first week of the college basketball season tonight with a Top-10 matchup. With that, Allen Fieldhouse will be rocking for one of the better non-conference games of the entire year already between two blue bloods in the sport.

The Jayhawks opened their season with an 87-57 win over Howard. It was the debut for their incredibly talented lineup of returners, transfer additions, and duo of top-rated freshmen. That has Kansas as one of the best teams in the nation as they entered as the No. 1 team in the Preseason AP Top-25.

The Tar Heels also started their year with a win this week but were tested more in a 90-76 win over Elon. The Phoenix took a late second-half lead with a run before UNC pulled away again in the last six and a half minutes. They did so on the night behind several pieces in their backcourt, including one of the best guards in the country who returned in R.J. Davis.

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Here’s how the game between Kansas and North Carolina projects tonight in Lawrence:

Odds for North Carolina vs. Kansas

Per the lines at FanDuel, Kansas is a 7.5-point favorite (-120) at home. That has North Carolina as a three-possession dog in the game with a moneyline wager at (+280).

As for the over-under, that total is set at 159.5.

Final score predictions for North Carolina vs. Kansas

BPI Predicted winner: Kansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.2
BPI Win Probability (for Kansas): 69.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 93.8

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) has Kansas vs. North Carolina as the best game of the night by far in matchup quality. As for its projection, it too is leaning to the Jayhawks by a margin of just over five and a win probability of nearly 70%.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Kansas 83, North Carolina 77
KenPom Win Probability (for Kansas): 73%

In a game between two of its teams in their Top-25, KenPom is also projecting a win for Kansas. Their prediction is a six-point win for the Jayhawks with a slightly higher win probability here at 73%.

How to watch North Carolina vs. Kansas

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Allen Fieldhouse (Lawrence, Kansas)

No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 9 North Carolina is a great early-season game in collegiate basketball this year. It’ll also be that much better as it’s being played inside one of the best venues of the entire sport. That all makes it a must-watch matchup tonight between contenders and brands like these two are.