What’s the Line? (vs. Ole Miss)

According to the current BetMGM odds, Georgia is a 6.5-point favorite over Ole Miss with a point total of 53.5 for their top-10 matchup this Saturday in Athens. For the Bulldogs, who’ve covered their last two games against the spread (ATS), they’ll be looking to cover three games in a row for the first time since covering the final two games of the 2021 season (vs. Michigan and Alabama in the CFP) and the 2022 season opener vs. Oregon.

Matchup: Georgia is 5-1 straight up and 2-4 ATS this season. Last Saturday, the Bulldogs won at Auburn, 20-10, as a 4.5-point favorite, covering for only the fifth time in their last 19 games and in back-to-back games for the first time since the 2024 Orange Bowl vs. Florida State, followed by the 2024 season opener vs. Clemson. Ole Miss is undefeated at 6-0 straight up, and is 3-3 ATS. In their last game, the Rebels defeated Washington State, 24-21, but didn’t nearly cover as a 33.5-point favorite.

Coaching Trends: For his coaching career, Georgia’s Kirby Smart is a respectable 47-39 ATS (55 percent) against SEC opposition. Lane Kiffin’s Rebels are underdogs for only the second time since the start of the 2024 season—a span of 20 games—with both times coming vs. Georgia. Although Kiffin is 14-10-1 ATS as an away underdog, this includes a 2-5 mark while at Ole Miss. The Rebels haven’t covered as an away underdog since during the 2021 season.

Series History: Beginning in 1998, or when Smart was a senior safety for the Bulldogs, and entering Saturday, Georgia is undefeated against Ole Miss in Athens at 6-0, 5-1 ATS, with the lone non-cover (31-17 win in 2002) not covering by merely a single point. The last time the teams met in Athens, two years ago in 2023, the Bulldogs routed the Rebels, 52-17, easily covering as a 10.5-point favorite. Last season, when the teams met in Oxford, second-ranked Georgia was upset by Ole Miss, 28-10, as a two-point favorite.