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Ole Miss

What do the odds say about Ole Miss' chances to be a contender in the SEC?

11by: Jake Thompson05/06/25JakeThompsonOn3
Ole Miss HC Lane Kiffin
(Corey Perrine | Florida Times-Union)

With the 2025 college football season just under four months from getting started the predictions, projections and odds-making for how Ole Miss will fare is going to start picking up.

There are some odds already in, including projected win-loss totals for the major players and contenders for the upcoming season and most sportsbooks are in agreement for what the Rebels might do this Fall.

Across the board Ole Miss has win-loss total set at 8.5, meaning if you took the over then it is heading for at least a season as good as 2024 or better. The Rebels went 9-3 last year in the regular season, getting to 10 wins with their Gator Bowl victory.

The number might feel a tad bearish but it does not seem too unfair given all the roster turnover taking place in Oxford. Ole Miss is without eight NFL Draft picks and a slew of other players signed as undrafted free agents. The attrition was expected and not a surprise to anyone. Hence why expectations are tempered by the experts in Las Vegas, which are more right than they are wrong.

With a new starting quarterback in Austin Simmons who’s lone experience is the touchdown drive in the win against Georgia last year plus 18 of the 22 starters being new in 2025 it is a recipe for a potentially down year.

But, when holding the Rebels 8.5 up to the rest of the country’s current projected win-loss totals as of early May it is not that far off from the top. Currently the highest win-loss odds is set at 10.5 with Penn State, Ohio State, Notre Dame and Oregon. There is not a Southeastern Conference team with projected win-loss totals higher than 9.5, a game better than the Rebels.

Alabama, Texas and Georgia are those three SEC teams. Could another year of the top half of the league beating up on each other happen again?

It is entirely possibly as all 16 teams keep their SEC schedules from 2024 with the only change being the rotation of home and away opponents.

To continue this further Ole Miss currently has the fourth-best odds to be the SEC Champion at +1100. The Longhorns (+225), Bulldogs (+400), Crimson Tide (+400) and LSU (+800) have better odds.

In the National Championship race the Rebels sit with the ninth-best odds (+2200) of hoisting up the College Football Playoffs championship trophy come January 19. The usual SEC suspects plus the Buckeyes, Nittany Lions, Ducks, Fighting Irish, Clemson and Michigan are all ahead of them.

Ole Miss opens up the 2025 season on August 30, hosting Georgia State.

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