NCAA Tournament Preview: #3 Purdue vs Grambling State

On3 imageby:Brian Neubert03/22/24

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Pre-Grambling — Purdue coach Matt Painter

INDIANAPOLIS — It’s been a long wait, this past year, but for Purdue the moment has finally arrived: Its return to the NCAA Tournament and opportunity for redemption for last year’s disappointment.

The No. 1 seed in the Midwest Regional, the Boilermakers will face 16th-seeded play-in winner Grambling State Friday night in front of what’s sure to be a distinctly pro-Purdue crowd.

DETAILS: Friday, March 22, 2024 | 7:25 p.m. ET | TV: TBS (Kevin Harlan, Dan Bonner, Stan VanGundy, Andy Katz) | Radio: Purdue Radio Network
PURDUE (29-4): ROSTER | SCHEDULE | STATS
GRAMBLING STATE (21-14): ROSTER | SCHEDULE | STATS

TeamAPCoachesNETKenPomKenPom Win%
Purdue333398%
Grambling2792602%

THREE THINGS ABOUT PURDUE

• Purdue comes into the NCAA Tournament second nationally in three-point percentage at 40.8 percent. With Kentucky out, the Boilermakers are No. 1 among those teams remaining.

• Braden Smith hurt his knee in the Big Ten Tournament, but played big minutes in the Wisconsin game and by every account is “fine.”

• In four losses this season, Purdue has averaged 15.3 turnovers, and opponents have scored an average of 18.8 points off them.

A FEW THINGS ABOUT THIS GAME

• Grambling got here by winning the SWAC Tournament, then beating Montana State in the play-in game Wednesday in Dayton.

• People will look at Grambling’s 2-10 opening to the season as a “slow start,” but it’s really just the reality of its level. None of those losses were home games, half of them came to high-majors (counting Dayton as such) and six of those opponents went to the NCAA Tournament.

• The Tigers have turned the ball over on more than 20 percent of their possessions this season and allow an offensive rebounding of nearly 33 percent.

• Guards Kintavious Dozier and Tra’Michael Moton are going to attack Purdue off the bounce. They combine to average about 25 points per game.

TURNOVERSDRIBBLE PENETRATIONDEFENSIVE REBOUNDING
It’s always turnovers. Maybe not against Grambling, but this is the worry that could end Purdue’s season.The Tigers are going to spread Purdue and drive the ball. Are they potent enough from three to keep defenders honest though? These smaller teams sometimes find their way to longer rebounds. Any psath to an upset for Grambling has to start with extra possessions.

GOLDANDBLACK.COM PREDICTION: PURDUE 85, GRAMBLING 64

New year. Very new Purdue team. There are no concerns here that history might repeat itself.

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