The Senate race in Mississippi

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The Cooterpoot

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
7,671
13,421
113
50% does not matter. No runoff in a Senate race. This is the ultimate FOFO for the Republican Party. A Democrat unseating an incumbent Senator in Mississippi. I'm happy for the guy. He will do a good job.
Well, CHS is dumb as a damn brick, talking to her is like talking to the driver of the short bus. Great for Ag, bad for anything else.
 

vhdawg

All-Conference
Sep 29, 2004
5,016
3,067
113
Well, CHS is dumb as a damn brick, talking to her is like talking to the driver of the short bus. Great for Ag, bad for anything else.
I think I've decided that Ag Commissioner is where they stick the people who they'd prefer to not have talking out loud about actual meaningful issues. First Cindy, now Andy, and now Andy's trying to run for governor and he's doing more than talking about the rodeo or state fair, and it's showing.
 

Maroon13

All-Conference
Sep 29, 2022
4,405
4,607
113
I think you are right. A good candidate could beat him in six years - I am sure there are several (good and bad candidates alike) licking their chops over it as we speak.....
Depends on who that good candidate is..... but it's going to be very tough to unseat him unless voters just don't show at some point in the future.

Mississippi is or very near a majority black state. I don't care what the census says. You look at the break down of the vote, he got 91% of the black vote and 25% white.

Mississippi is about to become Georgia.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
12,142
8,604
113
Depends on who that good candidate is..... but it's going to be very tough to unseat him unless voters just don't show at some point in the future.

Mississippi is or very near a majority black state. I don't care what the census says. You look at the break down of the vote, he got 91% of the black vote and 25% white.

Mississippi is about to become Georgia.
It's about 60 40. A Democrat that gets 25% of the white vote stands a chance, especially if the GOP candidate is not a good one.
 
Nov 16, 2005
29,709
25,308
113
Depends on who that good candidate is..... but it's going to be very tough to unseat him unless voters just don't show at some point in the future.

Mississippi is or very near a majority black state. I don't care what the census says. You look at the break down of the vote, he got 91% of the black vote and 25% white.

Mississippi is about to become Georgia.

It had nothing to do with democrats showing up, it was all about republicans sitting at house. Why they sat at the house is up to your interpretation

It was more of a vote of no confidence in CHS. Take for example Desoto County that went blue. Roughly same number of votes for Colom as Harris in last presidential election. 20,000+ less votes for CHS. They didn’t switch parties, they just didn’t vote
 
Nov 16, 2005
29,709
25,308
113
DeSoto and Madison being blue counties now is a seismic shift in Mississippi elections going forward. Mississippi isn't a "blue state" over night, but we're going to start seeing more competitive statewide races.
Not really

They’re not shifts. The republican vote simply didn’t come to the polls.

ETA this is the number of votes compared to the presidential election in Desoto.IMG_7935.jpeg
 
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Willow Grove Dawg

All-American
Nov 3, 2016
8,551
6,361
113
Curious if any of those thinking of running for governor may decide to hold their bullets and run for Senate on 6 years.
Tate Reeves could be a logical Senate candidate in 2032. He will only be 58 & his children will be grown which was rumored to be his opposition to being appointed when CHS was. Tate has also won 6 statewide races.
 

QuaoarsKing

All-Conference
Mar 11, 2008
6,373
3,311
113
Midterms are always lower turnout than presidential elections. You can't explain Republicans falling from 48K to 24K and Democrats falling from 29K to 28K just on Republicans staying home. There would have been thousands of Trump-Colom voters.

The other factor is black flight out of Memphis mostly landing in DeSoto rather than the suburbs in Tennessee. Apparently it's gone from around 17% to around 37% in the last 20 years, so you add that plus the white suburban blue trend nationally, and you get a newly blue county.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
61,311
33,019
113
Something about sowing & reaping. If Cindy hadn’t blocked him from the judge position (when Wicker supported him), he wouldn’t have run against her. And when Bryant appointed her people couldn’t believe he appointed such a weak senator. She made it through 1 election but it caught up to her last Tuesday. This needs to be a huge wake up call to the entire Republican Party. If they think this was an aberration & they can continue with business as usual, they’re going to get slaughtered in 2 years.
 
Nov 16, 2005
29,709
25,308
113
Midterms are always lower turnout than presidential elections. You can't explain Republicans falling from 48K to 24K and Democrats falling from 29K to 28K just on Republicans staying home. There would have been thousands of Trump-Colom voters.

The other factor is black flight out of Memphis mostly landing in DeSoto rather than the suburbs in Tennessee. Apparently it's gone from around 17% to around 37% in the last 20 years, so you add that plus the white suburban blue trend nationally, and you get a newly blue county.
Lol. Desoto isn’t a blue county.

It’s less red than it was but it is not blue.
 
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horshack.sixpack

All-American
Oct 30, 2012
12,405
9,906
113
Depends on who that good candidate is..... but it's going to be very tough to unseat him unless voters just don't show at some point in the future.

Mississippi is or very near a majority black state. I don't care what the census says. You look at the break down of the vote, he got 91% of the black vote and 25% white.

Mississippi is about to become Georgia.
Free college for residents off the lottery instead of politicians pocketing it? ***
 
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