$1.4 Millon Dollar bet

sefleming

All-Conference
Aug 28, 2005
2,081
1,427
112
Saw on KSR that when Chargers got ahead 27-0 a guy played a $1.4 Million dollar bet
to win $11,000+.
Needless to say he lost.
WOW.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KYExtemper

BigBlue8

All-Conference
Jan 5, 2003
1,670
1,266
113
I don't get why someone would place that kind of bet. If the bettor had one he would have only gained a 0.8 % return.
 
  • Like
Reactions: howercat

will.ksr

All-American
Nov 18, 2008
5,358
7,422
0
Paying a vig over -150 is bad gambling in the long run (arguably over -120). Paying a vig that’s over -10000 is just pure unadulterated insanity.
 
  • Like
Reactions: lex cath

JDHoss

Heisman
Jan 1, 2003
16,461
40,035
113
I can't wrap my mind around betting that kind of money for such a low return. Normally if you were making that bet, it would be safe, but this wasn't Georgia v Bethune-Cookman. It's the NFL playoffs and a 4 score game can get interesting quick...just like this one did.
 

hmt5000

Heisman
Aug 29, 2009
26,976
82,650
0
How many times has a team down 27-0 come back to win? I can't imagine it's a high number.
 

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
25,062
21,533
113
In horse racing they call them bridge jumpers. Those type of bets actually do get made. They bet some crazy amount on a 1-5 favorite to show thinking they can’t lose. They usually don’t. But sometimes they do.

Reminds me of a bet I should have made, and didn't because of the odds. BC Classic in 2015, American Pharoah was 1-2, before the post, and I really really really wanted to unload on him, thought he was an immortal lock. But I didn't because was only 1-2, but when the gates opened, the odds were actually 7-10, and he won in a cake walk. I still could kick myself, would have won $140 on a $200 bet in 2 minutes, pretty good IRR.
 
  • Like
Reactions: gojvc and JDHoss

gojvc

All-American
Feb 5, 2005
28,744
7,273
0
Reminds me of a bet I should have made, and didn't because of the odds. BC Classic in 2015, American Pharoah was 1-2, before the post, and I really really really wanted to unload on him, thought he was an immortal lock. But I didn't because was only 1-2, but when the gates opened, the odds were actually 7-10, and he won in a cake walk. I still could kick myself, would have won $140 on a $200 bet in 2 minutes, pretty good IRR.
It’s hard for me to take those odds on a win bet but it sure would have paid off for you there.
 
  • Angry
Reactions: Tskware

Glenn's Take

Heisman
May 20, 2012
12,513
14,693
113
Very interesting read. Thanks for that.
The Kentucky tracks pretty much did away with it this year unless the still have a minimum for a payout. They break to the penny now so if your $2 bet used to have to pay a minimum of $2.20 can now be paid to $2.01 if they need to go that low.
 
  • Like
Reactions: gojvc

mrhotdice

All-American
Nov 1, 2002
21,923
5,450
0
Weird things happen. Once when I lived in Vegas I bet an over bet in the NBA playoffs but I came up short by a lot but the teams tied, played 3 overtime periods and I finally won the over. It’s just luck sometimes.
 

ArtSmass

All-Conference
Aug 30, 2014
1,174
1,567
66
I told my wife we should have bet our entire savings, retirement, etc on Bama moneyline at home vs Miss St. I think they hadn’t even scored at Bama in their last 3 tries.

Would’ve been a crazy bet…but about a 60k payout when Bama won easily.
 

Deeeefense

Heisman
Staff member
Aug 22, 2001
43,969
50,650
113
In horse racing they call them bridge jumpers. Those type of bets actually do get made. They bet some crazy amount on a 1-5 favorite to show thinking they can’t lose. They usually don’t. But sometimes they do.
I heard about a couple of guys doing this for $100,000 a pop taking in a $5000 profit per trip on a mandatory ten cent return, but after about the 8th win the 1-5 horse stumbled out of the box and finished OTM - poof there goes 100 grand.

This is also similar to the so-called Massingale method in black jack. You start with a $1 bet and each consecutive time you lose you double the bet until you eventually win and get all you money back. Your profit comes from when you win consecutive hands. Doesn't work though because eventually you reach the end of your bankroll or reach the house betting limit.
 
  • Like
Reactions: gojvc

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
25,062
21,533
113
This is also similar to the so-called Massingale method in black jack. You start with a $1 bet and each consecutive time you lose you double the bet until you eventually win and get all you money back. Your profit comes from when you win consecutive hands. Doesn't work though because eventually you reach the end of your bankroll or reach the house betting limit.

Let me make sure I understand the math:

If you lose 7 times in a row (1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 + 64 = $127), you are already down $127, and then have to bet $128 to break even? Am I doing that right?

So if you win your 8th bet, at $128, you have made a dollar, and you start over again with a $1 bet? Is that the way it is supposed to work?

Man, if you happen to lose 8 or 10 in a row, you better have nads of steel to keep doubling.
 

Deeeefense

Heisman
Staff member
Aug 22, 2001
43,969
50,650
113
Let me make sure I understand the math:

If you lose 7 times in a row (1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 + 64 = $127), you are already down $127, and then have to bet $128 to break even? Am I doing that right?

So if you win your 8th bet, at $128, you have made a dollar, and you start over again with a $1 bet? Is that the way it is supposed to work?

Man, if you happen to lose 8 or 10 in a row, you better have nads of steel to keep doubling.
Yes that's the way it works, the probability of losing that many in a roll is extremely small but it DOES come up. It's a fools game. I misspelled it, it's the Martingale system:

 

Cats_2010

Heisman
Jan 8, 2010
11,158
18,627
103
Yes that's the way it works, the probability of losing that many in a roll is extremely small but it DOES come up. It's a fools game. I misspelled it, it's the Martingale system:

Raising hand of stupidity here. I actually did this when I was in my mid 20’s. Didn’t live too awfully far from the casino so I thought I’d go about 3 times per week and do this, make $200 and leave. $600/week easy money. Only I started with a $25 bet, not $1. Had to win 8 times to get up $200. $25, $50, $100, $200, $400, $800, $1600 was the 7 hands in a row I had to lose. I didn’t play straight up BJ though, I never doubled or split, I never took a hit when the next card could bust me. Figured no way I could lose 7 in a row. First two trips went great and I just knew I had figured out a way to beat the system until my 3rd trip back that very first week. After getting up around $100 I watched the 7 hand losing streak commence and walked away losing my $3000 plus. To my credit, I never tried that again 😂
 

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
25,062
21,533
113
Raising hand of stupidity here. I actually did this when I was in my mid 20’s. Didn’t live too awfully far from the casino so I thought I’d go about 3 times per week and do this, make $200 and leave. $600/week easy money. Only I started with a $25 bet, not $1. Had to win 8 times to get up $200. $25, $50, $100, $200, $400, $800, $1600 was the 7 hands in a row I had to lose. I didn’t play straight up BJ though, I never doubled or split, I never took a hit when the next card could bust me. Figured no way I could lose 7 in a row. First two trips went great and I just knew I had figured out a way to beat the system until my 3rd trip back that very first week. After getting up around $100 I watched the 7 hand losing streak commence and walked away losing my $3000 plus. To my credit, I never tried that again 😂
Here is your joke of the day:

Good judgment come from experience.


Do you know what experience comes from?

Bad judgment