2024 NCAA Wrestling Championships Preview and Prediction thread

[GregPickel]

Nationals are almost here! Starting today, BWI's continuing coverage of the Penn State push for another NCAA title begins with an early outlook for the Nittany Lions entered in the 125-157 pound weight classes. We'll look at 165-285 Tuesday, offer our prediction for each Penn State competitor on Wednesday, and then the action begins on Thursday. T Frank and I are recorded a new wrestling show that will be out before the action begins, as well.

Feel free to use this thread to link previews and predictions or share your own.

NCAA Wrestling Championships predictions: How many champs, All-Americans, will Penn State have?

Penn State wrestling is sending 10 entrants to the 2024 NCAA Championships. Here's how we think the Lions will fare at nationals.

www.on3.com

 

[GregPickel]

NCAA wrestling tournament preview: Breaking down the Penn State outlook at 125-157 pounds

Penn State has qualified all 10 starters to this year's NCAA Wrestling Championships. Here's the outlook for the first five in the lineup.

www.on3.com

 

[GregPickel]

2024 NCAA Wrestling Tournament Team Standings Based On Seed - FloWrestling

A breakdown of projected team standings by seeds for the 2024 NCAA Wrestling Tournament.

www.flowrestling.org

 

[GregPickel]

2024 NCAA DI wrestling brackets, preview for every weight class

Everything you need to know about the 2024 NCAA wrestling brackets.

www.ncaa.com

 

[SRATH]

2024 NCAA Wrestling Tournament Team Standings Based On Seed - FloWrestling

A breakdown of projected team standings by seeds for the 2024 NCAA Wrestling Tournament.

www.flowrestling.org

Fascinating to see how some of the blue bloods will fare this year, both good and bad. Good for Lehigh, yikes for Iowa and tOSU

 

[GregPickel]

 

[GregPickel]

Picks from On3's Nick Kosko:

2024 NCAA Wrestling Championships Preview, Predictions

.

www.on3.com

 

[ElDuce]

Picks from On3's Nick Kosko:

2024 NCAA Wrestling Championships Preview, Predictions

.

www.on3.com

No love for Nagao.....

 

[Sunshinedynomite 1]

No love for Nagao.....

That’s 6 winners and 9 AA.

they may make Nagao find his own way home

 

[psu7276]

No Ayala?

 

[Spice67]

Greg,
Is Cael speaking with the media tomorrow ?

 

[GregPickel]

Greg,
Is Cael speaking with the media tomorrow ?

No. He spoke last Monday, and will speak again (presumably) in Kansas City on Wednesday. But, no guarantee on that. I've yet to see the podium schedule at T-Mobile Arena that day. May just be a PSU wrestler representative.

 

[NavyBlue]

I watched this one on Flo, which took the approach of looking at possible wrestlebacks for those PSU wrestlers with tough early draws. Davis and Beau could have really difficult 2nd round matches against past opponents.

 

[watoos]

I watched this one on Flo, which took the approach of looking at possible wrestlebacks for those PSU wrestlers with tough early draws. Davis and Beau could have really difficult 2nd round matches against past opponents.

Davis has Peterson from Rutgers the 16 seed but yeah, a tough out.
Beau has Cole Matthews (Pitt) who got a ridiculous 18 seed and he has really been wrestling tough.

Penn State shines when they turn on the bright lights.

 

[BriantheLion]

That’s 6 winners and 9 AA.

they may make Nagao find his own way home

…including two seconds…8/10 finalists!

 

[BriantheLion]

What is our record for finalists in a year… I remember the 5/5 winners (and unfortunately only 2/5 last year)… how many other years did we have five finalists? …and have we ever had six or more?

 

[GregPickel]

What is our record for finalists in a year… I remember the 5/5 winners (and unfortunately only 2/5 last year)… how many other years did we have five finalists? …and have we ever had six or more?

Penn State is one of two teams to crown five champions in one year twice. It did so in 2016-2017 and 2021-2022. In both years, it had five finalists and won all five. So five is the most in any one year. Going back through the years I cannot find nor remember a time they ever had six in a single year's finals.

 

[MadChill]

Penn State is one of two teams to crown five champions in one year twice. It did so in 2016-2017 and 2021-2022. In both years, it had five finalists and one all five. So five is the most in any one year. Going back through the years I cannot find nor remember a time they ever had six in a single year's finals.

PSU has never advanced six wrestlers to the finals. For the 5 winners in the 2016-2017 season, the odd thing is those five were the only AAs for PSU that year. In other words, nobody from PSU finished third through eighth. That's definitely never happened before, where a team's only AAs were national champions, and there were five of them.

 

[GregPickel]

Penn State wrestling: Breaking down the Lions' NCAA outlook at 165-285 pounds

Penn State wrestling heads to the NCAA Championships this week. Here's how the Lions are looking at when it comes to 165-285 pound brackets.

www.on3.com

 

[Bwifan]

Nationals are almost here! Starting today, BWI's continuing coverage of the Penn State push for another NCAA title begins with an early outlook for the Nittany Lions entered in the 125-157 pound weight classes. We'll look at 165-285 Tuesday, offer our prediction for each Penn State competitor on Wednesday, and then the action begins on Thursday. T Frank and I are recorded a new wrestling show that will be out before the action begins, as well.

Feel free to use this thread to link previews and predictions or share your own.

We need a March Madness bracket challenge for wrestling like hoops ....

 

[GregPickel]

We need a March Madness bracket challenge for wrestling like hoops ....

There used to be a site that ran one but I think it gave up a few years back. I do believe there are some pick a wrestler at each weight class things or top three finishers at each floating around out there. Wrestle Stat used to do something like that I believe.

 

[Bwifan]

There used to be a site that ran run but I think it gave up a few years back. I do believe there are some pick a wrestler at each weight class things or top three finishers at each floating around out there. Wrestle Stat used to do something like that I believe.

You have plenty of time Greg to whip that right up for us...

 

[GregPickel]

You have plenty of time Greg to whip that right up for us...

Ha, trust me, I would love to. Maybe that's something I can figure out for next year.

 

[gimb14]

I've spent parts of 6 days filling out these brackets (still not done yet) and it's for nothing. I don't think I have enough time if it actually meant something.

 

[Tom McAndrew]

We need a March Madness bracket challenge for wrestling like hoops ....

InterMat use to run one where you picked the champs in each weight class, and ranked them 1 thru 10 on confidence. I enjoyed that competition, but I can't find it on their web site this year.

WrestleStat has one. You have to register with WrestleStat to participate. To join, follow these steps:

1. go to WrestleStat at:

WrestleStat | College Wrestling Rankings, Dual Comparison, Rosters, Schedules, Fantasy

www.wrestlestat.com

2. In the menu bar on the left, select Fantasy

3. In the drop-down menu that appears, select Tourney Pool

4. From that point, you follow the prompts. If you don't have a WrestleStat account, you'll have to create one. If you have an account, then you'll need to sign in.

5. Then, select Join A Group

6. At this point, follow the prompts to join the Official WrestleStat Group for the NCAA Championships.

7. I should note, if somebody has the interest, in step 5 you could create a group for BWI. It would be a private group, and you could invite others to join in the pool. (Seems like a good idea, but I don't have the time, so I'll leave it to others if they are so inclined.)

 

[GregPickel]

Will be a front page post sometime today but our preview pod/video is live:

 

[GregPickel]

 

[NoSoup4U]

What no Lear jet? Turbo Prop instead?? oy vey

 

[gimb14]

Current picks, subject to change:

125: Ayala over Davis
133: Fix over Crookham (Nagao 6th)
141: Mendez over Bartlett
149: Lovett over Parco (Kasak 5th)
157: Haines over Franek
165: O'Toole over Mesenbrink
174: Starocci over Ruth
184: Keckeisen over Salazar (Truax 4th)
197: Brooks over Hidlay
HWT: Kerkvliet over Bastida

 

[Got GSPs]

Current picks, subject to change:

125: Ayala over Davis
133: Fix over Crookham (Nagao 6th)
141: Mendez over Bartlett
149: Lovett over Parco (Kasak 5th)
157: Haines over Franek
165: O'Toole over Mesenbrink
174: Starocci over Ruth
184: Keckeisen over Salazar (Truax 4th)
197: Brooks over Hidlay
HWT: Kerkvliet over Bastida

So that is four champions and all 10 making all American. I would tend to agree, although maybe we get another champion somewhere. I think the over/under is 4.5 champions for sure. It’s not a stretch at all to think we could get 10 all Americans. Maybe the over/under there is 9.5.

 

[gimb14]

So that is four champions and all 10 making all American. I would tend to agree, although maybe we get another champion somewhere. I think the over/under is 4.5 champions for sure. It’s not a stretch at all to think we could get 10 all Americans. Maybe the over/under there is 9.5.

Yeah, I saw 5.5 somewhere for total champs. May have just been a fan though. 1 month ago I pick Bartlett too. Could absolutely see any of Davis, Bartlett, and Mesenbrink winning.

 

[GregPickel]

Penn State wrestling show: What records are the Lions chasing at the NCAA Championships?

Penn State wrestling is off to the NCAA Championships this week. Besides titles, here are the records the Lions are also chasing.

www.on3.com

 

[GregPickel]

My picks are in. Feel free to shred them up!

NCAA Wrestling Championships predictions: How many champs, All-Americans, will Penn State have?

Penn State wrestling is sending 10 entrants to the 2024 NCAA Championships. Here's how we think the Lions will fare at nationals.

www.on3.com

 

[Got GSPs]

Yeah, I saw 5.5 somewhere for total champs. May have just been a fan though. 1 month ago I pick Bartlett too. Could absolutely see any of Davis, Bartlett, and Mesenbrink winning.

I’m not a gambler so m over/under is just from the perspective of who is ranked number one or is a returning champ. Those three are totally capable of winning their weight class, and if not for O’Toole I’d predict Messenbrink as a winner.

 

[Tom McAndrew]

 

[Tom McAndrew]

 

[gimb14]

Ok. I think I'm done overanalyzing. The change at 141 really helped Nebraska and Missouri and hurt Michigan. Here's what I got:

	125	133	141	149	157
1	Drake Ayala	Daton Fix	Jesse Mendez	Ridge Lovett	Levi Haines
2	Braedan Davis	Ryan Crookham	Beau Bartlett	Kyle Parco	Jared Franek
3	Luke Stanich	Kai Orine	Real Woods	Caleb Henson	Ed Scott
4	Anthony Noto	Dylan Ragusin	Ryan Jack	Austin Gomez	Peyton Robb
5	Jakob Carmacho	Nasir Bailey	Anthony Echemendia	Tyler Kasak	Jacori Teemer
6	Nico Provo	Aaron Nagao	Cael Happel	Casey Swiderski	Daniel Cardenas
7	Noah Surtin	Nic Bouzakis	Brock Hardy	Jackson Arrington	Meyer Shapiro
8	Richard Figueroa	Evan Frost	Josh Edmond	Ty Watters	Bryce Andonian
	165	174	184	197	285
1	Keegan O'Toole	Carter Starocci	Perker Keckeisen	Aaron Brooks	Greg Kerkvliet
2	Mitchell Mesenbrink	Ed Ruth	Isaiah Salazar	Trent Hidlay	Yonger Bastida
3	David Carr	Mekhi Lewis	Dustin Plott	Michael Beard	Wyatt Hendrickson
4	Dean Hamiti	Shane Griffith	Bernie Truax	Tanner Sloan	Cohlton Schultz
5	Mike Caliendo	Rocco Welsh	Lenny Pinto	Lou DePrez	Nathan Taylor
6	Izzak Olejnik	Lennox Wolak	Dylan Fishback	Jacob Cardenas	Lucas Davison
7	Peyton Hall	Cade DeVos	Chris Foca	Jaon Smith	Zach Elam
8	Julian Ramirez	Nick Incontrera	Thomas Stewart	Rocky Elam	Owen Trephan