I thought that the Cats were very competitive last year after the first 3 games. I think Chiles brings physical talent the Cats have lacked for a long time, and the TE transfers add versatlity. I think offense generates 3 points per game more in red zone and one more long drive per game. While defensive line has some question marks, I think over all defense will be comparable to last year. Overall, NU’s average margin is about 5 points better.
The schedule is tough, but compared to last year, not overwhelmingly so.
Out of conference: 2025 Tulane, Western, LA Monroe, 2026 SDSU, Colorado, Ball State. Last year 2-1. This year, a little easier.
Top tier conference games: 2025 Oregon, Michigan, USC v 2026 Indiana, Oregon, OSU. Last year 0-3 with a near miss against Michigan. Can’t do worse.
Middle tier conference: 2025 PSU, Nebraska, Illinois, Minnesota. This year PSU, Illinois, Minnesota, Iowa. Last year 2-2 with OT loss to Illini and last possession loss to Nebraska. This year, a little tougher, but the Cats left a lot on the table last year.
Third tier conference: 2025 Purdue, UCLA. This year, MSU, Rutgers. Last year 2-0. This year, a little tougher.
I think Cats have a chance to upset a top tier team and do one game better against middle tier and/or out of conference teams.
Overall I am unreasonably optimistic and think the regular season ends 8-4.